A strong area of low pressure is located over northeastern Missouri this morning, where it has been sitting since last night. Meanwhile, high pressure remains locked in place to our east off the coast of New England. With clockwise flow around the high and counter clockwise flow around the low, we remain in a warm, southerly wind between the two systems.
Temperatures overnight rose once again and most of the Finger Lakes is starting the day at temperatures that are already above the average maximum for today. The core of the warm air is actually moving up into Western New York, but that will be counteracted by some extra cloud cover. Further east, the sun will help boost temperatures even higher.
Maximum temperatures should rise well into the 70s today and a few locations will likely hit 80º. The record high in Rochester today is 86º, set back in 1954. Syracuse has a record of 85º today, also set in 1954. Neither record is likely not fall today.
There is a chance of a couple of showers late in the afternoon for the western Finger Lakes before that threat overspreads the entire region. Showers should be scattered and many places won’t see any rain. More substantial chances for rain come in Wednesday and Wednesday night as the front from the storm system slowly tracks east.
Temperatures behind the front will not be all that cool, with mid 60s Thursday, Friday and Saturday. The weather will turn much colder by Sunday though, with the cold lingering much of next week.