Rain will cross the Finger Lakes late Monday afternoon and evening.
Late Day Showers
Showers ahead of a frontal boundary will bring some light rain to the Finger Lakes later today. Out ahead of the front, it will be a bit on the breezy side with near normal temperatures.
Southeasterly winds, which could gust to 30 mph at times this afternoon, will erode away some of the chill from the weekend. Temperatures this afternoon should rise to around 70 degrees, with some places in the upper 60s and others into the low 70s.
Sunny periods will mix with cloudier times, but the trend will be for overcast skies to take over this afternoon.
Rain showers will start to enter western New York during the afternoon hours and should push into the western Finger Lakes by the mid-afternoon. Showers will slowly work east across the Finger Lakes before arriving in the eastern Finger Lakes and Central New York this evening.
Most of these rain showers will not amount to anything substantial. Generally speaking, rain amounts will be less than 0.33″.
More Rain Later This Week?
The parent low pressure system associate with this evening’s front will drift south across the Upper Great Lakes before stalling over northern Indiana or Ohio later this week. Once this low stalls out, it should remain in place into next weekend.
As this low wobbles around the southern Great Lakes, a steady stream of moisture will pump northwestward from the Atlantic Ocean. For areas east of the low, this could mean a couple of inches of rain over the course of a few days.
Such a slow and steady rain event would be beneficial for our drought striken area, and there is at least a chance that some parts of the region could see some of this rain. However, there may be a fairly sharp cut off between substantial rain and little rain for areas further northeast.
The day to tday weather in a situation like this, with a large, stalled out low pressure system, can be difficult to predict far in advance. Often times, the conditions from one day to the next area determined by subtle impulses in the atmosphere that the computer models have a hard time resolving.
So, while the chances for rain, including how much and when, are uncertain, at least we can hope that our rain this week will not be limited to Monday evening’s shower activity.