Pleasant Start to the WeekendHigh pressure is building into the Finger Lakes from the southwest, even as an area of low pressure continues to spin nearby over eastern Canada.
Between these competing pressure systems, a gusty northwest wind will again develop during the day today.
This northwest wind will keep temperatures cool for early June, even as a good deal of sunshine remains in place throughout the day.
The presence of the low pressure system and the influx of cooler air may cause a shower or two to bubble up, especially this afternoon. However, the vast majority of the region should stay dry throughout the day today.
Look for high temperatures mostly in the low 60s this afternoon with a few places possibly pushing towards 65 degrees.
A small disturbance will slide through during the predawn hours with some rain showers, especially over the western Finger Lakes and Southern Tier. This precipitation should be mostly cleared out by the time the sun rises and the remainder of Saturday will be dry.
Winds will be lighter on Saturday as high pressure moves overhead, but temperatures will remain cool. Most areas will see highs Saturday afternoon in the mid 60s.
After sunny skies during most of the day and clear skies to start the evening, clouds will work in overnight as the next system approaches.
This storm system will come at us from the Upper Great Lakes on Sunday.
First, a warm front will push through the region during the morning. An area of widespread, occassionaly heavier rain will move through during the morning.
The weather during the afternoon is questionable and depends on the infiltration of warm air into the region.
Most likely, showers and clouds will keep temperatures relatively in check. Parts of the western Finger Lakes could approach 70 degrees, while the eastern Finger Lakes remains in the low and mid 60s.
In this scenario, a few thunderstorms will develop over the western portions of the region during the afternoon. Conditions could be favorable for a couple strong storms, but the relatively cool surface temperatures will be a limiting factor.
Less likely, but more concerning would be a sunnier, warmer scenario. If temperatures were to push well into the 70s to provide fuel for thunderstorms, the nearby presence of the low pressure system and strong wind fields aloft would be more than enough to cause some severe weather.
This will certainly be something to watch over the next 48 hours.
Weekend Forecast Video Tonight
Be sure to check back this afternoon and evening for an update on the weekend weather in video form.
My current plan is to go live on Facebook at about 5:15 pm this afternoon. The video will be viewable after the live broadcast ends so you can get the latest even if you miss the live broadcast.
I will have a new blog post for the video here on FLXWeather.com.
As always, be sure to check your zip-code forecast for all the latest details for your town.