Winter arrives in the Finger Lakes this week

finger lakes weather forecast monday december 3 2017 winter cold front
A powerful cold front on Tuesday will put an end to the comfortable temperatures for a prolonged period of time. [Photo by Nanci McCraine]

On Borrowed Time

The weather in the Finger Lakes will follow up on a nice weekend with another pleasant day on Monday.

A broad southerly flow has kept temperatures in the 30s overnight across the Finger Lakes while the Southern Tier has dropped into the 20s.

Those temperatures should rise fairly quickly this morning thanks to some sunshine and as the south wind strengthens.

High, thin clouds will work in this morning to filter some of the sunshine and the day should get progressively cloudier.

Still, temperatures will easily reach the upper 40s for most places with some 50 degree readings likely.

These temperatures are 10-15 degrees above normal for early December.

A couple showers will be possible overnight as a warm front lifts through. After dipping into the upper 30s this evening, temperatures will stall out or even rise a couple of degrees after midnight tonight.

Cold Front Ushers In New Season

Over the Midwest, a storm system is taking shape as it rapidly strengthens. This system will spread blizzard conditions across parts of the Dakotas and Minnesota as it lifts north into Canada.

South of the storm center, a strong cold front will barrel its way across the Midwest and Great Lakes.

By Tuesday morning, rain out ahead of this front should be moving into the Finger Lakes along with strong winds.

The rain will persist for much of the day on Tuesday, as will the wind. Gusts over 40 mph are likely and a few gusts over 50 mph will be possible.

Temperatures will remain in the 40s throughout the day. The actual front will not move through until the evening hour.

Temperatures will quickly drop out of the 40s and into the 30s and 20s Tuesday Night.

Welcome to Winter

Once the front clears the Finger Lakes, winter will have arrived in the Finger Lakes.

Lake effect snow will quickly develop behind the front on southwest winds. This will keep the lake effect northwest of the Finger Lakes, primarily confined to areas north of Buffalo and west of Rochester through Wednesday.

Outside of the lake effect, sunshine is likely across the Finger Lakes with gusty winds in excess of 30 mph. Temperatures Wednesday will be in the upper 30s.

Wednesday night, winds will start to turn towards the west.

This should bring the lake effect snow bands south with the Lake Erie band moving into the Finger Lakes.

The heaviest snow will be west of the Finger Lakes, but on and off flurries and squalls are possible throughout Thursday.

A couple of inches may fall in the vicinity of a Dansville to Penn Yan to Cortland line, though the exact location will still need to be resolved in the coming days.

Temperatures will continue to fall, with highs in the low 30s Thursday into Friday.

Lake effect snow will continue to move around and fluctuate in strength through the weekend and into next week.

Temperatures will persist in the 30s for a few more days this weekend, but next week looks even colder with most days only in the 20s.

This pattern is expected to persist for the foreseeable future and it looks like winter is here to stay.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:

Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.).

When not forecasting, he can be found working at the local library, making goat milk soap, running until his legs burn, or playing with his three young boys.

4 Responses

  1. Connie Thomas
    |

    Please tell Nancy McCraine that her photo pictures are stunning. Keep posting

  2. Gail Dalmat
    |

    I shared this, as usual, but just so you know, here’s the way I introduced it: Exactly the forecast I needed. It tells me which days I’d better get what done. Highest priority, I guess, is any other plants I’d hoped to bring inside (cilantro, celery, gerbera daisies?). The tender stuff is already frozen, but those are still alive. And if I don’t harvest the taters, they’ll be in the ground all winter.
    And I’ll be calling Jeff the snow plow man to make sure he’s still in business, and tell him I sold my snowblower. Shouldn’t be much snow this week, but may as well alert him.
    I also need to pick up an antique table near Rochester. Today looks like the best time to get it, given the rest of the week.

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      |

      Thanks, Gail!

  3. […] Take the opportunity to get outside on Monday, because big changes are coming, according to FLX Weather Meteorologist Drew Montreuil. […]