30 Apr 2025

Thursday Severe Thunderstorm Risk

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Posted: Wednesday, April 30, 2025, 5:00 PM
Expires: Thursday, May 1, 2025, 7:00 AM

Image 1 Alt Text:"Thunderstorm Outlook map from FLXWeather.com for Thursday, May 1, 2025, from 4-10 PM. The map shows the Finger Lakes region of New York with color-coded severe thunderstorm probability zones. Western areas including Lockport, Albion, and Batavia are in yellow (Slight risk), while central areas including Rochester, Newark, Geneva, and Elmira are in green (Marginal risk). Eastern areas including Syracuse, Ithaca, and Binghamton are in blue (Non-Severe risk). The legend shows the full scale from Non-Severe through High risk categories.
click to enlarge

The Storm Prediction Center has nudged the severe risks for Thursday, May 1, further east and into the Finger Lakes area.

This is supported by the weather model that performed arguably the best yesterday, which is showing a decaying line of thunderstorms moving into the area.

One key question will be the timing of this line and how it holds together as it moves through our region.

Be sure to check back by 8 AM Thursday for my latest forecast.

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