The cold front that moved through the Finger Lakes on Thursday is now well to the east of our region, but its parent low pressure is now stalled out and will continue to impact our weather in the coming days.
A strong area of low pressure over the Hudson Bay in northern Canada has stalled out and will remain parked over that general area through the middle of next week. At that time, the low will dissolve and weaken. Until it does so, it will be the primary factor in our weather as a series of disturbances rotate around the low.
In such a pattern, predicting the the timing and strength of these subtle disturbances can be a difficult task. At this time, it looks like a weak disturbance will pass through on Saturday with a more potent one expected on Monday. Additional unsettled weather will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday, but the details are murky at best right now.
There may actually even be a shower this evening as the first disturbance, shown as the yellow dashed line on the map, approaches. A few showers and maybe a thunderstorm should develop on Saturday, but this disturbance does not look terrible strong. Therefore, I would not be surprised if a few areas escape Saturday with little to no rain.
On Sunday, it looks as if we will be between disturbances, resulting in a day like today (Friday) that is filled with sunshine and warm temperatures.
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible on Monday, possibly with some heavy rain.