November is one of the cloudiest months in an overall cloudy region. This week will be no exception.
High pressure situated just to the southeast of the Finger Lakes kept skies clear overnight. This let temperatures drop into the 20s and low 30s for a chilly start to the week. However, those same clear skies will help temperatures to quickly warm through the 30s and 40s this morning. Afternoon highs should be 20-30 degrees warmer than the morning lows, with most areas reaching the mid 50s.
The sun should stay out all day as high pressure retains its grip on our weather. That grip will loosen overnight as clouds start to move in from the south. These clouds will be ahead of a storm system that will move along the east coast on Tuesday. Some showers on the back side of this system will move through the Finger Lakes Tuesday afternoon and evening. A few light rain showers may linger into early Wednesday as well.
This coastal storm system will not be associated with Tropical Storm Kate, which is expected to develop today over the Bahamas. This late season tropical storm is not expected to get very strong and should curve eastward out to sea. Eventually, the coastal system should absorb Kate, but that will not happen until both storms are well out over the Atlantic.
A few breaks in the clouds may be possible Wednesday, but more clouds are likely by Wednesday night as a new system approaches from the west. This system will track into the Upper Great Lakes and across southern Canada. Light rain is expected from this system on Thursday, with wind and a few showers on Friday.
Temperatures most of the week should be fairly typical of November, with highs mostly near or slightly above 50 degrees. Overnight temperatures will be a bit above normal, thanks to the persistent cloud cover.