Showers will transition to steadier rain by Thursday afternoon thanks to a cold front.
A direct connection to abundant moisture from the Gulf of Mexico exists along a slow moving cold front. This front is approaching the Finger Lakes with numerous disturbances and low pressure centers along the front.
One of these disturbances brought a round of showers just before dawn, and another will bring some more showers this morning. Some steadier and heavier rain is expected this afternoon before the front moves in and pushes most of the rain to the east.
Temperatures are starting the day in the low and mid 50s. There will not be much upward movement in the temperature, thanks to the clouds, rain and incoming cold front. Temperatures may even start to fall a little this afternoon.
Rain should taper off this evening and much of Friday looks dry and sunny. Temperatures behind the front will still be slightly above normal, but much cooler than recent days with highs in the mid and upper 40s. The average high for this time of the year is near or just above 40 degrees.
A quiet, calm weekend is in store for the region. Some early sun on Saturday should help temperatures rise towards the 60s once again. More clouds will mean lower temperatures on Sunday, with highs in the 50s. No precipitation is expected this weekend until after sunset on Sunday.
Next week looks to continue the warmer than normal pattern, but with more 50s than 60s or 70s.