An active storm track will keep rain showers in the forecast each day this week.
Despite the active weather pattern, it will not rain constantly this week, nor will temperatures suffer too much as a result.
The bulk of Monday’s rain is already pushing out of the Finger Lakes this morning. Additional showers are likely today, but they should be light and scattered. Temperatures will not rise much today, with highs in the mid 40s. The one exception will be towards Rochester and Batavia, which could break 50 degrees. Clouds will also keep temperatures from moving much tonight, with lows in the low 40s.
Much of Tuesday will probably end up dry, but a small disturbance will spread some scattered light showers in during the afternoon. This disturbance is located this morning near the bordered of Missouri, Arkansas, Tennessee and Kentucky, and will move northeast slowly as it weakens.
Temperatures on Tuesday will be a few degrees warmer for most areas, with highs near or just shy of 50 degrees.
A strong storm will develop on Wednesday and lift into the Midwest. This will push a warm front towards the Finger Lakes on Wednesday. Temperatures should respond by rising into the upper 50s and low 60s. Rain will become more likely during the afternoon, with some heavier downpours and rumbles of thunder possible.
Thursday and Friday both look showery. Wednesday’s storm will stretch out into a west-to-east front that will slowly sag from southern Canada on Thursday towards the Mid-Atlantic on Friday. This should result in cloudy skies and showers both days. Temperatures will be in the upper 50s on Thursday, but behind the front, highs will be in the low 40s on Friday.
Do not be surprised if you start hearing some hype for the weekend. Colder air seems likely, with highs falling below normal in the 30s. Sunday especially looks uncertain as a system may develop along the coast and could spread precipitation into the area.
At this early stage, it is too early to nail down whether this would bring snow, rain a mix or a miss to the area. Don’t buy into the hype, but keep an eye on the forecast through the week.