A weak, slow moving disturbance is over the Finger Lakes this morning and will only slowly drift towards the east.With this disturbance in place though, we should actually see fewer and lighter rain showers today compared to yesterday. This will happen because of the extra cloud cover associated with this disturbance.
While it will not be completely overcast, there will be more clouds around than in previous days. The clouds will in turn keep temperatures cooler, with highs in the low to mid 80s instead of flirting with 90º. This is enough of a difference to keep the atmosphere fairly stable this afternoon- that is, it will be harder for clouds to have the rapid upward growth necessary for thunderstorm development.
The air will still be very muggy, so it will still feel rather oppressive, even with the slightly cooler temperatures. Also, any showers that do form could still have a brief downpour, but the vast majority of the region should not see too much rain.
There will be a much better chance for heavy, if not excessive rain Thursday evening and Thursday night as the cold front moves through. More on that Thursday morning.