Muggy with a few showers in wake of overnight floods

finger lakes weather forecast tuesday september 18 2018 southern tier flooding reports
Humid and cloudy conditions are expected Tuesday until a cold front moves through late. [Photo by Helen Heizyk]

Florence Departs, Front Approaches

The remains of Florence have moved out of the Finger Lakes after producing a stripe of heavy rain and flooding overnight.

Thankfully, the region did not see the extreme rain amounts of 5 inches or more that would have produced very destructive flooding.

finger lakes weather forecast verification monday september 17 2018 flash flood
Heavy rain and flooding reports from Monday night shown over top the Flash Flood Risk Map I published Monday afternoon. The red shading was the High Risk zone.

Still, widespread amounts of 2 to 4 inches caused plenty of problems. Roads remains closed across the Southern Tier, some schools are closed, and at least a couple of house evacuations took place overnight.

For all of the uncertainty coming into the event, the weather cooperated and the forecast ended up very strong. All of the flooding was in, or very very near the high risk area.

Florence is becoming absorbed by a frontal boundary that will keep a couple of showers and plenty of cloud cover in the region today.

A second front is poised to the north and will move through tonight as a cold front.

Before that cold front arrives though, the air will remain warm and muggy. Look for high temperatures today to be near or above 80 degrees with sticky dewpoints nearing 70 degrees.

A broken band of scattered showers will organize this evening along the cold front with a quick shot of rain for a few areas.

Cooler Briefly; Active Pattern Setting Up

in the wake of Tuesday evening’s cold front, cooler, less humid weather will sweep in.

Morning lows should drop back into the mid and upper 50s for most areas by Wednesday morning. Favored areas will likely see some fog.

Most of the day should turn out sunny with some high, thin clouds working in late. Temperatures will top out around 70 degrees with a north wind.

Winds will gradually turn back to the south on Thursday as low pressure tracks across southern Canada. Some rain or thunder along a warm front will be possible. Temperatures will work into the mid 70s for western and southern areas with low 70s to the northeast.

Much warmer air will work in on Friday with highs returning to the 80s. Some late day thunderstorms will be possible as another cold front approaches.

Another storm system could clip the area from the south on Sunday, with more wind and thunderstorms possible towards the middle of next week as an active pattern continues.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

4 Responses

  1. Cathy

    We had 4″ in Brooktondale. You were spot on, Drew!!

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil

      Thanks for the report! Hope you didn’t get any flooding.

  2. Sharon

    Thank you for all your updates lasts night, they were very helpful and appreciated!

  3. […] Check out his report here, and visit the Weather Center for the latest forecast from the National Weather Service. […]