Locally Dense Fog
A stalled out frontal boundary is overhead, providing ideal conditions for fog across the region.
Light surface winds, warmer air aloft acting as a lid, and ample moisture provided by recent rain and melting snow are all contributing factors to the fog.
There will be little change to the overall picture throughout the day today. About the only change will be a slight increase in temperature, with afternoon highs ranging from the low to mid 40s.
The fog will shift around, decreasing at times and increasing at others. Higher elevations will especially be prone to the fog throughout the day.
Tonight, fog should increase, making travel difficult with very low visibility.
The fog will get disrupted somewhat after midnight as another batch of rain moves in. This rain will fall for several hours and should be pushing north out of the region by daybreak. Scattered showers, drizzle, and a few lingering areas of fog are likely for Friday morning.
Temperatures will initially dip to the upper 30s this evening, then rise back into the low and mid 40s by Friday morning. Friday afternoon will see our warmest readings of the week with many areas near or slightly above 50 degrees.
Stray showers and drizzle will continue through Friday and into Friday night. The fog will probably increase again after sunset as well, with winds turning calm.
Cooler air will start to move in overnight, allowing temperatures to reach the mid 30s by Saturday morning.
Weekend Weather Forecast
Saturday will be another drab day with plenty of cloud cover. However, precipitation will be scarce, and many areas will remain dry.
It will still be a bit on the mild side, but much cooler than Friday. Look for afternoon highs around 40 degrees.
On Saturday, low pressure will track northeast through the Deep South on its way to the Mid-Atlantic. Precipitation from this low may arrive in our area as soon as Sunday morning.
Temperatures are expected to be in the low and mid 30s on Sunday, resulting in a mix of rain and snow. This low does not look particularly potent, but there could still be some accumulating snow, particularly over higher elevations.
Given the uncertainties with the exact path of the low and the temperature profiles over our region, the exact details remain a mystery. The chances for significant snowfall remain low, but not zero, so this bears watching closely for any last minute surprises it may try to pull.
Most likely, it looks like a mixed event with variable snow amounts based on elevation, with most of the accumulating coming late Sunday into Sunday night.
Cool air will be pulled into the region behind this system with breezy north winds on Monday. Wind gusts are not expected to reach 30 mph, though.
High temperatures on Monday will be near or slightly below 30 degrees. A few limited lake effect snow showers will be possible.
Most of next week is looking quiet, with just a few showers or flurries here or there. Temperatures will hang out in the 30s for the first half of the week, then may make a run towards 40 degrees later in the week.
Mild air remains possible next weekend and the following week, but the signals are not as warm or as consistent as they have been.
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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
