Several Days of Rain
A stagnant pattern in the atmosphere will bring periods of needed rainfall to the Finger Lakes this week.
Pinpointing the areas and timing of heavier rains will be difficult over the coming days.
Generally, heavy rain will become more possible during the afternoon and evening hours as thunderstorms develop during the daytime heating. However, rain will be possible at almost any time for the next few days.
Wednesday looks especially soggy across the Finger Lakes and will likely be the peak chance for widespread rain and possible flash flooding problems.
For Monday, precipitation should be more scattered and generally not too heavy. A few heavier downpours will be possible, but they will be the exception to the rule today.
Rain will be a bit more widespread on Tuesday, starting across the eastern Finger Lakes and Central New York early in the day and shifting to the western half of the region for the afternoon.
Widespread afternoon rain and thunderstorm will be possible on Wednesday, though there is still plenty of time left for this idea to be adjusted.
Through Thursday morning, most areas will probably see 1-1.5 inches of rain. Localized areas could see much more, however, especially if repeated thunderstorms move over the same areas repeatedly. A large-scale, significant flood event does not seem to be a major concern.
We will get a break in the weather on Thursday as some dry air sneaks in, but more showers are possible on Friday.
With the clouds and rain, temperatures will generally hover near normal during the day with warm, muggy nights. High temperatures today will be in the upper 70s and low 80s with mostly upper 70s Tuesday and Wednesday. Overnight temperatures will settle around 70 degrees for the next several days.
Soaking showers and thunderstorms will bring much needed rain to FLX – FingerLakes1.com
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It’s been my observation that when areas of drought are developing there builds a pattern where the areas that get more rain attract more rain, while the areas that receive less to no rain almost seem to repel further rainfall. I’ve observed this over a number of years – both here and where I used to live in WI.
Do you think there’s anything to this observation?
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
In a major drought like 2016 there can be some self-perpetuation. The lack of moisture in the ground results in a lack of moisture in the air. I tend to doubt our current level of dryness is enough to have much of an impact like that though.