Warm, dry weather continues until cold front late this weekend

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday april 12 2023 sunny warm dry breezy brush fire risk
The brush fire risk continues to be elevated with sunny, warm, and dry weather combining with some gusty winds. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Weather Through Saturday

High pressure remains parked over the southeastern United States, supplying dry, warm air to the Finger Lakes region.

Temperatures will continue to add a few more degrees to the daily highs today and Thursday before leveling off. High temperatures today should be in the low and mid 70s, while Thursday, Friday, and Saturday will be around 80 degrees.

Nighttime temperatures will also remain warm, with lows sticking to the 50s through Sunday morning.

There are a few thin clouds scattered about the region this morning, but these should move out before too long, leaving sun-filled skies for much of the day today. Thursday will be no different, with few, if any, clouds whatsoever.

The wind will be on the breezy side again today, coming in from the west-northwest at speeds of 10-15 mph. Top gusts on the day should range from 25 to 35 mph.

Relative humidity values will be near or under 40 percent for many areas, leading to a continued elevated brush fire risk. Yesterday, many fires were reported, and conditions today will be similar. Please use extra caution and respect the annual spring burn ban.

Thursday’s winds will be lighter, coming from the west-southwest at 5-10 mph. Top gusts should be near or under 20 mph.

Friday will have even lighter winds, with variable directions and speeds under 5 mph. South winds will develop on Saturday at 5-10 mph with gusts under 20 mph.

Skies will be more mixed on Friday as thin clouds move back into the region. Saturday will also be partly cloudy with a variety of cloud types. Counties that border Pennsylvania may even see a stray shower or thunderstorm late in the day. Most areas will remain dry, though.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wed apr 12 | wed, becoming mostly sunny mid 70 | thur, mostly sunny near 80 | fri, sun and thin clouds near 80 | sat, sun and clouds near 80 | sun, late showers, storms mid 70 | mon, scattered showers mid 50 | tues, scattered showers near 50
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Pattern Changes

Sunday will continue to be warm, but an approaching cold front will increase clouds and bring rain to the area, eventually.

The timing of the front is still slightly uncertain but should move through sometime in the late afternoon or nighttime hours. If the front arrives before sunset, some thunderstorms will be likely. If the front is delayed, however, the chances for thunder decrease.

Either way, a period of rain is expected late Sunday and Sunday night as the front slowly crosses the region. Rain showers are likely to persist into Monday and Tuesday, possibly with a few nighttime snowflakes mixing in over higher elevations.

Winds on Sunday will be from the southeast with blustery speeds of 10-15 mph. Gusts will be around 30 mph, but could locally be stronger over some western areas.

The wind will then turn to the southwest on Monday, bringing in cooler, not warmer air. Wind speeds will remain at 10-15 mph, but gusts will increase to 35-40 mph. The strongest winds, as usual with a southwesterly direction, will be along and west of I-390 in the far western reaches of the region.

Temperatures will fall to the low 40s Monday morning and afternoon highs will make it to the mid 50s. The daily averages for Ithaca on Monday are a low of 34 degrees and a high of 55 degrees, so this is much closer to average than our current weather.

The wind may still be blustery on Tuesday. Temperatures are less certain but should end up somewhere in the 45-55 degree range for most areas.

Temperatures will moderate late in the week and may get back toward 60 degrees for a couple of days before another shot of slightly cooler air makes its way into the region.

More Information:

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wed apr 12 | wed, becoming mostly sunny mid 70 | thur, mostly sunny near 80 | fri, sun and thin clouds near 80 | sat, sun and clouds near 80 | sun, late showers, storms mid 70 | mon, scattered showers mid 50 | tues, scattered showers near 50
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.