Mid-Week Weather Forecast
A broad area of low pressure in the upper levels of the atmosphere is parked over eastern Canada.
This low will keep our weather pattern cool and unsettled as small disturbances ride around the low and the Great Lakes throw in their own moisture and energy, too.
Stray showers will be possible at any time today, but the best chance for rain will come in the late afternoon and early evening as the next disturbance moves into the area. The shower activity, while remaining light, may become rather widespread during this time.
Before that, any sunshine this morning will be replaced with numerous clouds. A few glimpses of sunshine will continue to be possible here and there.
Northwest winds will blow with speeds around 10 mph and gusts to 25 mph. Cool air will continue to deepen with this northwesterly flow.
Afternoon highs will range from the mid 50s to mid 60s today.
The warmest readings will be in the valleys from Corning to Binghamton. Many other lower elevations throughout the region will see highs near or slightly above 60 degrees.
Higher elevations will mainly see upper 50s for highs, but some of the western Southern Tier may only top out in the mid 50s.
Rain showers this evening will end, leaving partly cloudy skies with a few stray showers, but also some clear patches.
Temperatures will drop steadily overnight and should generally be a couple degrees cooler than this morning. More areas across the Southern Tier and Cortland County should be down into the 30s, and patchy frost will be possible.
Immediate lake shores will stay in the mid 40s, while most of the interior northern half of the region drops to the low 40s.
Wednesday will be much like today, with more clouds than sun and a period of heightened shower activity late in the day. Tomorrow’s rain may be more widespread and longer lasting than today’s, but has a higher chance of coming after sunset.
Northwest winds will persist through Wednesday with similar speeds. Temperatures will drop another couple degrees as a result, with only a few valley and urban locations reaching 60 degrees and many higher elevations sticking near 55 degrees.
Likewise, nighttime temperatures will continue to drop, with most of the southern half of the region in the 30s by Thursday morning and lows near or slightly above 40 degrees for most of the north.
Late Week Transition
Lake effect rain showers will be possible early Thursday, but dry air should eventually build in, ending the rain chances and possibly bringing some afternoon sun.
Thursday will be the coolest afternoon this week with widespread low and mid 50s. A few hilltops may not even reach 50 degrees, especially in the higher elevations between Syracuse and Cortland.
Thursday night will also be the coldest night of the week and has the greatest chance for areas of frost.
Widespread mid 30s are likely throughout the southern half of the region with a few pockets possibly even reaching the low 30s. Across the warmer north, upper 30s and low 40s are expected, even along the lake shores.
Winds will turn to the southwest on Friday and dry air should keep skies quite sunny. Temperatures will jump back into the 60s as a result, with mid and even upper 60s in some of the urban areas and southern river valleys.
A small cold front will drop south through the area Friday night or early Saturday, possibly with a few stray showers. As a whole, though, Saturday looks dry with sun and clouds. Morning lows will be in the 50s and afternoon highs in the lower half of the 60s.
A more potent system will pass by on Sunday, possibly bringing widespread rain and some blustery winds. The details are still uncertain though, so be sure to check back if you have plans for Sunday.
This system will push in another period of chilly, unsettled weather next week. Temperatures as a whole next week may be cooler than this week.
However, there are signals of warm weather during the second half of October, though the spread of possibilities showing on the models by next weekend and the following week are very large, leading to lower than usual confidence, even at this range.
More Information:
» Finger Lakes Weather Radar
» Zip Code Forecasts
» Get the FLX Weather Mobile App
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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