Extended Outlook: A couple more chances for wintry precipitation

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast fri feb 27 | fri, mostly sunny mid 40 | sat, clouds a few spits of rain mid 40 | sun, am snow pm flurries low 20 | mon, mostly sunny mid 20 | tues, precipitation, type uncertain mid 30 | wed, sun and clouds low 40 | thur, late rain possible mid 40
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

After a quiet and mild start to the weekend, wintry weather will return on Sunday. Tuesday will also need to be watched for some sort of wintry precipitation, but confidence is growing in a period of much warmer weather late next week and beyond.

Friday

What: Sunny skies, mild temperatures

Today’s weather is pretty straightforward: sunshine and temperatures rising. The only detail worth repeating here is that winds will kick up tonight with gusts over 30 mph, especially after midnight. You can see the rest of today’s details in the Weather Planner post from last evening.

 

Saturday

What: Spits of precipitation

A couple of cold front will pass through the Finger Lakes on Saturday with light spits of precipitation, mainly rain. The first will be early in the morning, with a second during the midday or early afternoon. Temperatures will still get to the mid 40s after starting mild, but will start to lose some ground during the afternoon. The cooling will come from north to south and a few late afternoon snowflakes cannot be ruled out. Winds will be much lighter than Friday night as they gradually turn from the southwest to the north.

 

Sunday

What: A period of morning snow

Impacts: An inch or so of accumulation

Widespread light snow will pass through the area Sunday morning. Most areas should see accumulations around an inch. The widespread snow should end by afternoon, with a little limited lake effect behind it. North and northwest winds will be steady but not too strong. Temperatures will hover in the low 20s morning and afternoon, then dive into the low 10s with pockets of single-digits Sunday night.

 

Monday

What: Sunny, but chilly

Monday is expected to be sunny at this point, but there is still a chance for some clouds to build in from the south at some point during the day. With a weather system to our south, cold air will be locked in place with highs only a couple degrees warmer than Sunday. Daytime winds will be light and variable, but nighttime winds will turn blustery from the south.

 

Tuesday

What: Precipitation likely, but what type?

Impacts: Possible but highly uncertain

The weather system that will be to our south on Monday will turn north on Tuesday, spreading precipitation into our area. It will be a race between the precipitation and warmer air moving in, starting with Monday night’s blustery winds. This may be a situation where precipitation starts as snow, turns to ice briefly, then ends as rain. Stay tuned.

 

Wednesday

What: Another quiet, mild day

Wednesday looks quiet with sun and clouds. Temperatures have a decent shot at reaching the 40s. This forecast is still far enough away and sandwiched between weather systems, though, so it could need some adjusting.

 

Late Next Week

Another weather system will probably impact the area late next week. Most likely, this will be rain, but a few outlying models show snow. I am skeptical there will be enough cold air for that, but it bears watching. A large surge of warm air is highly likely to push toward our region by the weekend. This should be the warmest air we’ve seen in 2026 so far, but exactly how warm it gets and how long it lasts are highly uncertain. As is typical for warm surges in March, there will likely be a sharp cut-off between the warm and much cooler air, so watching the position of that boundary will be key.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

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