Afternoon severe storm risk upgrade

weather map and radar from 12:39 PM Wednesday July 24 2024 showing scattered thunderstorms across upstate New York and a zone of anticipated scattered severe thunderstorms stretching across western NY, the Finger Lakes, and central NY.
Click to enlarge.

Posted: Wednesday, July 24, 2024, 12:30 PM
Expires: Wednesday, July 24, 2024, 8:30 PM

With their midday update, the Storm Prediction Center has increased the severe thunderstorm risk over our area from a Level 1- Marginal risk to a Level 2 – SLIGHT risk.

Thunderstorms over western New York and southern Ontario are in the process of developing and have already shown some organization into line segments.

Conditions are locally favorable for scattered severe thunderstorms with a damaging wind risk. These should generally be low-end severe storms with wind gusts in the 60 mph range. A little small hail may also be possible.

The chances for high end, destructive microbursts as seen in previous weeks, should remain minimal. Tornadoes are not expected, though can never be completely ruled out when dealing with severe thunderstorms.

Storms will be possible any time this afternoon, but will be most likely during the latter half of the afternoon.

I’ll be monitoring the situation and will post additional updates like this one as necessary.

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