When it comes to sharing information about a large-scale event, it is important to remember where different forecasters are focused. This is especially important with this storm and the forecasts from the National Weather Service in Binghamton.The Finger Lakes region is split right down the middle between the NWS in Binghamton and Buffalo. Both of these weather service offices do a tremendous job, and the NWS Binghamton Facebook page is one of the top weather service pages in the nation. A lot of my followers are also followers of theirs- and I certainly recommend doing so.
Some of the worst of this upcoming storm will be directly in the Binghamton Office’s area of responsibility. Obviously and rightly so, their focus is on those areas. From the western Catskills, into northeastern Pennsylvania and areas east of I-81, this is a major event. As they get the word out about this storm, keep in mind the vast expanse of their coverage area and that the Finger Lakes will not be getting the same sort of storm, in amounts of timing, as areas covered by Binghamton but further east.
For most of the Finger Lakes, I think this will end up being a couple of snowy days, but come Friday, a lot of people might be scratching their heads and wondering ‘is that it?’, not because of hype, but because of the broad area the very good forecasters in Binghamton have to cover.
To work on alleviating this, I’ve made two maps. One is my storm total accumulation map (top). The second is when I expect the steadiest and heaviest precipitation to generally be. As you can see, I am expecting the worst of the storm on Wednesday and most of the area should see less than a foot of snow.
This is a stark contrast to areas further east, which will be hammered on Tuesday and Tuesday night and very well may exceed a foot.
This is an extremely complex system to forecast, and even harder to cover over a broad geographic region. As always, I welcome comments and questions and will try to help you with your individual needs the best I can throughout the duration of this storm.
Please continue to monitor the forecasts for updates as more details become evident.