Sunshine Abounds Monday
Quiet weather will persist across the Finger Lakes for much of the week, starting off with another sun-filled day on Monday.
An area of high pressure over Central Canada is the primary influence for our weather early this week.
Sunshine should be abundant today from start to finish with scarcely any clouds to contend with.
A small shot of cooler air aloft is working through the region this morning. While temperatures this morning are not as cold as Sunday morning, our afternoon highs will not be as warm as Sunday, either.
Most areas will top out in the upper 20s this afternoon with just one or two isolated areas reaching 30 degrees.
Winds will be light throughout the day.
Skies will gradually turn partly cloudy overnight as a storm system moves into the Mid-Atlantic region. Some scattered clouds will be in the area on Tuesday as result, but no precipitation is expected.
Morning lows Tuesday should mostly be in the teens with a few single digits. Afternoon highs will reach the low and mid 30s.
Storm System Misses South
Models continue to be in rather good agreement that this next storm system will miss our region.
This system is already developed over the southern Plains. The jet stream is quite flat, going from west to east, which should carry this system straight across the southern United States with no turn to the north.
There is a small dip in the jet stream moving across the northern Rockies in Idaho and Montana this morning. This, too, will push east, but will not meet up with the storm system until all of the action is near or off the East Coast.
A secondary low should develop as this phasing occurs, and the resultant storm system should turn north. However, this will occur too late for any precipitation to make its way into the Finger Lakes.
There is still a very slim chance for a different scenario, with two or three of the fifty-one European Ensembles holding onto the idea of snow in the Finger Lakes. However, based on the analysis I described above, I do not think that will happen.
Areas from Pittsburgh to Philadelphia, to New York City and Boston have a much better chance of seeing at least some moderate snow accumulations.
Here in the Finger Lakes, I expect us to be in and out of cloudy periods Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday as we sit on the very edge of the cloud shield associated with this complex.
Temperatures will remain cool, with highs in the low 30s Wednesday, and into the mid and upper 30s Thursday and Friday.