Wind and showers as cold front moves through Thursday

finger lakes weather forecast thursday october 4 2018 wind clouds rain thunderstorms cold front
Gusty winds will precede a cold front which will move through with a band of showers. [Photo by Meteorologist Drew Montreuil]

Changing Weather Thursday

The weather will be active across the Finger Lakes on Thursday with a variety of conditions expected throughout the course of the day.

A warm south wind has boosted temperatures overnight. Temperatures are in the 70s across the western Finger Lakes and the sun has not yet even risen. Once the sun is up, the rest of the region should quickly warm into the 70s as well.

The south wind will increase this morning as well with gusts over 30 mph likely.

A line of thunderstorms is also rumbling into Western New York early this morning out ahead of the cold front. Some weakening of this line is possible as it moves towards the Finger Lakes during the mid-morning hours.

Additional showers will develop along the front during the midday and early afternoon hours as the front progresses across the region. By about 3 pm, the rain should be moving out of the region.

Before the front moves through, temperatures should reach the mid 70s. Within a couple hours of the frontal passage, temperatures will drop into the low and mid 60s for the late afternoon.

Winds will turn to the northwest and lessen somewhat. Gusts during the afternoon should be in the 20-25 mph range.

Skies should turn at least partially sunny after the front passes, though some clouds may work back in for the evening before more clearing overnight.

Temperatures Friday morning will be as much as 30 degrees colder than this morning with widespread low and mid 40s and even a few upper 30s in the Southern Tier and Central New York.

Chill Doesn’t Stick Around

Friday will be a sunny but cool day as high pressure passes overhead.

High temperatures Friday will mostly be around 60 degrees. The Southern Tier has the best chance at getting into the low 60s while upper 50s are likely along the shore of Lake Ontario.

A light north-northeast wind will blow during the day, but will turn towards the south and increase Friday night.

Temperatures will again be on the rise before the sun is even up on Saturday with mid 50s in the west and upper 40s in the east.

Low pressure will track from Michigan into southeastern Canada during the day Saturday. At this time, rain with this system is expected to stay west over Canada, leaving a mix of sun and clouds across the Finger Lakes.

Very warm air will move in by the afternoon. Mid and upper 70s will be commonplace with a few low 80s in and around Rochester.

Competing high pressure systems, one over Canada the other over the Mid-Atlantic, will set up a frontal boundary across the area on Sunday. A few on and off showers will result, but temperatures are still expected to be warm. Look for highs well into the 70s once again.

A very warm weather pattern looks likely through much of next week as well. A few stray showers will be possible here and there, but for the most part, next week looks rather dry.

Daily high temperatures will be in the upper 70s and low 80s until colder air works in, perhaps for good, late in the week. Generally near to below normal temperatures are then expected for the remainder of October.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.