Feels Like Summer
High pressure off the coast of New England continues to pump warm and increasingly humid air north.
Temperatures started today well into the 60s and will quickly rise through the morning hours. With skies remaining sunny throughout the day, temperatures should reach their full potential.
For most areas, this means highs in the mid and upper 80s. A few of the typically warmest locations, namely urban areas and near I-90, could hit 90 degrees.
Dewpoints will be in the mid 60s for much of the day, making it feel humid, but not oppressively so.
There is a very small chance for an isolated shower or storm this afternoon, but the chances for rain look even smaller than they did yesterday.
Skies will be clear tonight with temperatures gradually falling back into the 60s.
Wednesday will be a bit cloudier and thus temperatures will be a couple degrees shy of today. Still, many areas should see the mid 80s. Dewpoints tomorrow will be in the low and mid 60s.
Unsettled, Then Briefly Cool
By Thursday, high pressure will start to loosen its grip on our weather.
Clouds will increase first, followed by some afternoon rain. Models aren’t doing a great job agreeing on where this rain will be, with some taking it mostly west and others mostly east.
Regardless, at least some showers should make it into the Finger Lakes. Winds will also turn more southeasterly on Thursday, with our incoming air originating over the Atlantic Ocean.
Along with the extra cloudiness, this will limit our temperatures with highs in the mid 70s.
On Friday, a cold front will move through during the second half of the day. Temperatures will get close to 80 degrees ahead of the front.
There appears to be plenty of fuel for thunderstorms and the front will act as a strong trigger. At this early stage though, the wind fields do not look overly favorable for widespread severe storms.
Nonetheless, I’ve already been monitoring Friday’s storm potential since the weekend and will continue to do so.
Behind this front, a shot of chilly air will bully its way in. Highs on Sunday may struggle to get into the low 50s, and patchy frost could be a thing Monday morning.
Where our weather pattern goes after this is uncertain with a wide spread of possibilities showing in the models.
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