Hot and humid today with maybe a stray storm

Heat Advisories

The National Weather Service has issued heat advisories for a portion of the Finger Lakes region for today.

All but the southern counties of Allegany, Steuben, Schuyler, Chemung, Tompkins, Tioga, and Cortland have heat advisories, which are issued for an elevated risk of heat-related illness.

Before the heat though, some clouds and a few showers are moving through the area this morning. These showers are mostly over Western New York at 7 am and will track northeast. Most of the Finger Lakes will not see rain this morning.

Behind this, skies will turn sunny, south winds will become blustery, and temperatures will rapidly increase. Many areas should see at least 90 degrees today. With the humidity, heat index values will reach the mid and upper 90s.

There is a small chance for a couple pop-up afternoon thunderstorms, but I believe the chances for a storm are very low. Better chances for storms seem to exist to the south over Pennsylvania, or the north over Lake Ontario. Most, if not all, the Finger Lakes will probably end up dry through the afternoon.

Any storms that do develop will be capable of strong winds or hail, in addition to frequent lightning. The Storm Prediction Center has our region in a Level 2- Slight threat for severe weather, but I think this is overdone for our local region.

Tonight, thunderstorms over Michigan will move east but should dissipate before arriving in the Finger Lakes. A few stray showers will be possible, but no significant rain is expected. The increase in clouds will hold temperatures in the 70s through the night, though.

Cooling Down

Eventually, a cold front will move through around dawn Thursday. First the humidity will drop with dewpoints crashing back into the 60s and then 50s.

Temperatures will hold in the 70s, but will rise several degrees from the warm morning lows. A few places may even hit 80 degrees in the late morning or early afternoon hours. Temperatures should then lose a few degrees over the rest of the afternoon.

Skies tomorrow will start cloudy but will gradually transition to sunshine. A lingering shower early is the only chance for rain.

Thursday night will be much more comfortable with temperatures falling back into the 50s. Friday will then start sunny, but a few showers may pop up during the afternoon as a second cold front slides into the area. Highs should again be in the upper half of the 70s.

A meandering low pressure system will likely bring some showers this weekend. Exactly when remains a bit uncertain, though.

Both Saturday and Sunday will have chances for rain. Later Saturday into Sunday seems to have the best chance for rain. The threat for showers will continue into Monday before rain chances may decrease on Tuesday.

Temperatures will remain steady from day to day with morning lows mostly in the low and mid 50s and afternoon highs in the low and mid 70s.

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