Mild End of the Week
High pressure has finally shifted from a position north of our region or overhead to a new home over the Tennessee Valley.
This new position will allow for a steady climb in our temperatures over the next few days. The high will remain close enough to keep our weather quiet.
Winds today will be a bit blustery with speeds around or over 10 mph. Top gusts on the day could reach 30 mph. The wind will be from the northwest, but tracing the air back further, it is originating from warmer regions.
With sun-filled skies and the absence of wildfire smoke, temperatures should be able to reach their full potential today. Widespread highs in the mid 70s are likely, though some higher elevations will stick closer to 70 degrees.
Clear skies this evening will give way to a deck of thin overcast after midnight. Temperatures will remain in the 50s throughout the region.
These clouds will stick around for much of Thursday but should eventually clear out later in the afternoon. While unlikely, a brief, isolated shower cannot be totally ruled out.
Thursday’s winds will be from the southwest at near or under 5 mph. Despite the light winds and clouds, highs should range throughout the 70s. A few places between Geneva and Rochester may even hit 80 degrees.
Sunshine will return on Friday with light south winds. More areas will join the 80-degree club, while even higher elevations get above 75 degrees.
Warm Weekend, then a Big Change
There will be little change between Friday and Saturday, though some thin clouds will work in for the afternoon Saturday.
Otherwise, winds will remain light and temperatures mild with highs in the upper 70s and low 80s.
Winds will increase from the south and southwest Saturday night as a strong cold front draws closer to the region. Temperatures Saturday night should mostly remain in the 60s as a result.
Sunday will be warm and breezy with sunshine filtered through thin clouds during the morning and early afternoon. Wind speeds will be 10-15 mph from the southwest with gusts of 25-30 mph. Temperatures should reach the low 80s before the front arrives.
As the cold front moves in during the afternoon, a band of rain and possibly thunderstorms will drop southeast across the region. The chance for some stronger storms will need to continue to be monitored and remains uncertain at this time.
This front will usher in a new pattern of cool and unsettled weather.
Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will top out in the 60s, but then another front will move through. Highs for the rest of next week will settle into the 50s. Thanks to plenty of cloud cover, overnight temperatures should not drop low enough for frost concerns.
There will be chances for rain throughout next week, though the best chances will come with the fronts on Sunday and late Tuesday or Wednesday. Overall, the rain should be beneficial for the short-term but will do little to erase our growing long-term rainfall deficits.
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