Temperatures continue to climb, right into the weekend

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday september 23 2020 warm quiet weekend
Temperatures will continue to rise and conditions will remain dry into the weekend. Next week, however, looks cool and unsettled. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Mild End of the Week

High pressure has finally shifted from a position north of our region or overhead to a new home over the Tennessee Valley.

This new position will allow for a steady climb in our temperatures over the next few days. The high will remain close enough to keep our weather quiet.

Winds today will be a bit blustery with speeds around or over 10 mph. Top gusts on the day could reach 30 mph. The wind will be from the northwest, but tracing the air back further, it is originating from warmer regions.

With sun-filled skies and the absence of wildfire smoke, temperatures should be able to reach their full potential today. Widespread highs in the mid 70s are likely, though some higher elevations will stick closer to 70 degrees.

Clear skies this evening will give way to a deck of thin overcast after midnight. Temperatures will remain in the 50s throughout the region.

These clouds will stick around for much of Thursday but should eventually clear out later in the afternoon. While unlikely, a brief, isolated shower cannot be totally ruled out.

Thursday’s winds will be from the southwest at near or under 5 mph. Despite the light winds and clouds, highs should range throughout the 70s. A few places between Geneva and Rochester may even hit 80 degrees.

Sunshine will return on Friday with light south winds. More areas will join the 80-degree club, while even higher elevations get above 75 degrees.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wednesday september 23 2020
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Warm Weekend, then a Big Change

There will be little change between Friday and Saturday, though some thin clouds will work in for the afternoon Saturday.

Otherwise, winds will remain light and temperatures mild with highs in the upper 70s and low 80s.

Winds will increase from the south and southwest Saturday night as a strong cold front draws closer to the region. Temperatures Saturday night should mostly remain in the 60s as a result.

Sunday will be warm and breezy with sunshine filtered through thin clouds during the morning and early afternoon. Wind speeds will be 10-15 mph from the southwest with gusts of 25-30 mph. Temperatures should reach the low 80s before the front arrives.

As the cold front moves in during the afternoon, a band of rain and possibly thunderstorms will drop southeast across the region. The chance for some stronger storms will need to continue to be monitored and remains uncertain at this time.

This front will usher in a new pattern of cool and unsettled weather.

Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will top out in the 60s, but then another front will move through. Highs for the rest of next week will settle into the 50s. Thanks to plenty of cloud cover, overnight temperatures should not drop low enough for frost concerns.

There will be chances for rain throughout next week, though the best chances will come with the fronts on Sunday and late Tuesday or Wednesday. Overall, the rain should be beneficial for the short-term but will do little to erase our growing long-term rainfall deficits.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.