Cool and cloudy but dry today

finger lakes weather forecast thursday november 12 2020 cloudy cool
Some late sun will be possible as high pressure builds in and keeps our weather quiet through Saturday. [Photo by Pam VanGelder]

Classic November Weather

Today will be a very typical November day with plenty of clouds and cool temperatures.

Yesterday’s front is draped along the East Coast with one low pressure off the coast of New Jersey and Tropical Storm Eta spreading rain north from Florida to the Carolinas.

Meanwhile, high pressure is nosing its way into our region from the west, keeping the rain out of our area, but having a harder time dislodging the clouds.

A cool northwest flow between the high and the front will add some extra moisture from Lake Ontario, which will only make it harder to remove the clouds.

Therefore, most of the day will turn out cloudy. With the northwest breeze and lack of sunshine, temperatures will only rise modestly this afternoon for highs in the mid to locally upper 40s.

The chances for sunshine will increase later in the afternoon as the high pressure nudges the influence of the front further east.

Clear skies and calm winds this evening will send temperatures into the low and mid 30s, but then the high will move east and southeast winds will kick in. Temperatures will hold steady or even rise a couple degrees by Friday morning.

There should be plenty of sunshine tomorrow, though some patches of clouds will drift through from time to time. This will especially be the case late in the day when a subtle cold front moves in.

Temperatures Friday afternoon will reach the low 50s for most areas with upper 40s in higher elevations.

Clouds along and behind the front will thicken for Friday night and at least the first half of Saturday. Precipitation will be scarce, though, and most areas will see nothing fall. Saturday morning lows will range through the 30s and highs will be in the low and mid 40s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday november 12 2020
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Next Storm System

Our next significant weather maker will roll into the region on Sunday and will continue to influence our weather into the middle of next week.

After an initial drop Saturday evening, temperatures will come up again Saturday night. By dawn Sunday, most areas should be near or above 40 degrees.

The south wind driving this warming will become strong Sunday morning with gusts of 35-45 mph.

A few showers will be possible during the morning, but most of the rain will move through during the afternoon. Temperatures should reach the upper 40s and low 50s before the bulk of the rain arrives.

Winds will turn to the southwest behind a late day cold front, remaining blustery through the night and into Monday.

Lake effect showers and flurries will be possible on Monday. By this time, the wind will be from the west, so whatever falls in the Finger Lakes will come off Lake Erie.

Temperatures on Monday will hold steady throughout the day, sticking to the mid and upper 30s and low 40s.

Winds will continue to gust over 30 mph on Tuesday, this time from the northwest. With highs remaining in the 30s, lake effect snow and rain will continue to be possible, now coming off Lake Ontario.

The wind and lake effect will finally wind down on Wednesday as high pressure builds in.

Snow accumulations during this lake effect should be minor, though a few higher elevations east of Cayuga Lake could see a couple of inches.

Highs on Wednesday will remain in the 30s, but temperatures should bounce back by the end of next week.

Pushing Forward

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.