Quiet Weekend Weather
High pressure is centered just north of the Finger Lakes this morning and has the region off to a cold start.
Thin clouds moved in overnight but are not as thick as expected. They have done little to stop the free-falling temperatures and most areas are starting the day in the upper 20s and low 30s.
Winds will remain nearly calm today with just a whisper of an east breeze. The thin clouds will also remain throughout the day. At times, they may thicken some more, but much of the day looks like it may have a fair bit of sun shining through the clouds.
Afternoon temperatures will rise into the mid 50s, which is about where the daily average highs are. Skies will clear out again tonight, but this time a south wind around 5 mph will keep temperatures from bottoming out.
Saturday morning should start with temperatures ranging through the 30s, though a few pockets of 20s across the Southern Tier will also be possible. Temperatures will warm in a hurry after sunrise with full, unabated sunshine and light south winds.
By the afternoon, the wind may become mostly calm, and temperatures will top out near or slightly above 60 degrees. Mid and upper 30s are expected overnight, with south winds increasing and a few clouds moving in after midnight.
The clouds will increase throughout Sunday. Unlike today, the clouds should become thick and block out much of the sunshine during the afternoon hours. How quickly this happens is still a bit uncertain and may have an impact on high temperatures.
Regardless of the clouds, highs should make it into the 60s for most areas. The clouds and south winds will then hold nighttime temperatures in the upper 40s Sunday night.
More of the Same Next Week
An area of low pressure will pass through early next week. South winds will persist on Monday ahead of this system, but will not be anything notably strong with speeds of 5-10 mph.
Scattered showers are still expected on Monday but are trending later in the day. The rain that falls continues to look sporadic and light and should hopefully have minimal impact on Halloween festivities and Trick-or-Treating.
In fact, this system may be more beneficial than harmful by keeping temperatures up on Monday. Afternoon highs should be around 60 degrees, with evening temperatures comfortably in the mid 50s.
Scattered showers will continue overnight and into early Tuesday. A few spits of rain may linger into Tuesday afternoon, especially if the models continue to trend later with the timing of this system. High on Tuesday should again be at or above 60 degrees.
Cold air will be completely lacking behind this system. In fact, if anything, it will get warmer. Wednesday will have highs in the low 60s while Thursday will push toward the mid 60s. By Friday, 70 degrees may not be out of the question.
Clouds will be almost non-existent Wednesday through Friday. Eventually, clouds will return ahead of the next system, which looks to bring some showers sometime next weekend or early the following week.
Until that system moves through, temperatures will remain well above average. Uncertainty becomes higher behind that system, but near to above average temperatures still appear to be favored even as we head toward mid-November.
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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
John and Sue
Drew, this is by far the driest October in our 37-year tenure here! We are the blob in NE Schuyler on the drought map which also put Schuyler in the abnormally dry category. No surprise on the blob as we are the only NWS coop reporting station.