Little in the way of sunshine this week, but plenty of wind

finger lakes weather forecast monday november 28 2022 cloudy cool
The best chance for sun may come on Thursday, when some of the strongest winds of the week will also be possible. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Early Week Weather

The area of low pressure that brought Sunday’s rain is exiting off the coast of Maine this morning.

However, northwest winds behind the low will ensure cool temperatures and cloudy skies today.

There should be little in the way of precipitation today, despite the thick clouds. A few spits of rain or stray snowflakes will be possible, especially this morning and again near and after sunset. Some higher elevations may also be foggy at times thanks to the low cloud ceilings.

The northwest winds will be steady with speeds around 10 mph and gusts as high as 25 mph. These winds will bring in cooler air, which will counterbalance the typical daytime heating cycle.

Most areas are starting the day in the mid and upper 30s. Temperatures will only add a few degrees today, with highs in the upper 30s and low 40s. A few urban areas in the valleys of the Sothern Tier may push toward 45 degrees.

Tonight, temperatures will fall through the 30s and most places should end up between 25-30 degrees. Overnight lows will occur in the hours after midnight. South winds will then develop, and temperatures will hold steady or rise a little by dawn.

Some breaks of sun will be possible early in the day before a new deck of clouds moves in ahead of the next weather maker. These clouds are expected by mid-morning, so the window for sunny skies will be brief.

Even so, some limited sunshine may filter through the clouds at times throughout Tuesday. Light south winds will continue, with speeds under 10 mph during the daytime hours. Afternoon temperatures will make it into the mid 40s thanks to the warming winds.

As daytime heating is lost Tuesday evening, temperatures will retreat to the mid and upper 30s early on. The south wind will increase, holding temperatures in that range much of the night. Wind speeds will rise to 10-15 mph and gusts of 25-35 mph, with the highest speeds over the hilltops.

Once the sun rises Wednesday morning, the wind will undergo another increase. Still coming from the south, winds will blow at 15-20 mph with gusts over 40 mph. A few hilltops could see gusts as high as 50 mph.

At the same time, rain will build in from the west and continue off and on throughout the day, much like it did yesterday. Rain amounts will vary from one-quarter to three-quarters of an inch.

During the afternoon, winds will turn to the west-southwest with a slight reduction in speed, back into the 10-15 mph range. These winds will continue overnight, with gusts generally under 30 mph.

Temperatures will peak just before the wind shift, with highs Wednesday in the upper 40s and low 50s. it will not take long for temperatures to drop once the winds turn, with widespread 30s by the early evening hours.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday november 28 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Plenty More Wind

The widespread rain should come to an end around sunset as well, leaving little to no opportunity for it to change to snow. However, lake effect will develop east of the lakes, sending snow showers from Lake Erie across the southern two-thirds of the Finger Lakes.

Winds will become more westerly, or even slightly north of due west, on Thursday. The Lake Erie snows should dissipate and/or move south, while the Lake Ontario snow band will stay just north of the area. Thursday may end up being one of the best chances for some sun as a result, though some clouds should also be expected.

The bigger story on Thursday will once again be the winds, which will increase after sunrise. Wind speeds will once again be 15-20 mph across the southern half of the region, but will be near or even above 20 mph across the northern half. Wind gusts will be 35-40 mph across the south, but 40-50 mph across the north.

These winds will be strongest during the morning and midday hours and will gradually drop in speed during the afternoon. Temperatures will be held in the 30s by the cold winds.

Friday will have another chance for some sunshine, though clouds will be increasing ahead of the next weather system. The morning will probably have the best chance for sunshine.

Winds will turn back to the south but will remain light on Friday. Temperatures will nose their way back into the low 40s.

Scattered showers are possible on Saturday, though this next system looks weaker and is thus less certain this far in advance. Temperatures should continue to warm and winds will again increase. South winds Saturday will be in the 10-15 mph range with gusts over 30 mph at times.

Saturday night and Sunday morning may be another period of strong winds, coming from the west-northwest. Gusts over 40 mph may become widespread. Time will tell if the winds get stronger than that. Like the rain Saturday, there is plenty of uncertainty here.

Unsurprisingly, these winds will bring cool air back in with highs Sunday in the 30s. A spray of snow showers off Lake Ontario will also be possible.

An active weather pattern should continue next week as well, possibly followed by cooler weather towards the middle of December.
finger lakes weather 2023 calendar and weather almanac.

Calendar Update

Thank you to all who have ordered the FLX Weather 2023 Calendar & Almanac! I am expecting the calendars to arrive from the printers late this week. Hopefully, there are no delays.

There have been hundreds of orders made, but my family and I will be working as quickly as we can to fulfill the orders and get them in the mail to you. Orders will be fulfilled in the order they were received. It is my goal to have these completed next week, but I will be sure to be clear with any updates to the timeline.

It is not too late to get a copy of the calendar, since extras were ordered due to printer quotas. There is a limited and dwindling supply, though, so do not wait to reserve your copy. I will also be at the Lime Hollow Nature Center on Saturday, December 3rd, selling the calendar. I’d love to have you stop by for a chat, regardless of purchasing a calendar!

Please continue to spread the word about the calendar. It will make a great, unique gift and is sure to delight all who use it throughout 2023. Calendar sales will help support FLX Weather in 2023 and beyond. Thank you for your support!

» Get your calendar here before they are gone!

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday november 28 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.