Weekend Weather Forecast
A series of small disturbances will pass through the Finger Lakes this weekend.
One such disturbance is moving through this morning and is teaming up with the Great Lakes for some morning snow showers.
Most areas will see little to no accumulation from the snow this morning, but a few localized areas may see upwards of an inch.
This first round of snow showers will depart during the midday hours and a few breaks in the clouds may sporadically appear this afternoon. New clouds will build in late, though, so the window for any glimpses of sun is small.
Winds will be from the southwest, turning to the south. Wind speeds this morning will be around 10 mph, will drop slightly for the afternoon, but then come back up this evening.
Afternoon highs will make it into the low and mid 30s. Evening temperatures will dip down into the 20s, but will rise back to the low and mid 30s by sunrise thanks to the increasing southerly winds.
The next round of snow showers will accompany the rising temperatures after midnight tonight and into early Saturday morning. Stray snow showers will be possible throughout the day, but will be more likely in the morning than in the afternoon.
Again, a small window may open for a few breaks in the clouds during the afternoon as highs push into the mid and upper 30s. Winds will be strongest in the late morning and midday as they turn more westerly with speeds of 10-15 mph and gusts around 30 mph.
A third system will arrive early Sunday morning. Initially, some snow may fall with little to no accumulation. With winds turning back to the south early Sunday morning, warmer air will turn most of the snow showers into rain showers.
Many areas may be near or slightly above 40 degrees Sunday afternoon as rain showers continue. However, a front will turn winds to the northwest late, and temperatures will start to drop.
Colder Next Week
Yet another small weather system will parade through on Monday with the late afternoon and evening as the prime times for precipitation.
Before this arrives, Monday will be cloudy and a bit cooler. Highs may still make it into the mid 30s, though. Temperatures will drop as snow falls, and a couple of inches may be possible.
By Tuesday morning, the snow should be mostly over and temperatures will be well into the 10s.
Lake effect snow will develop southeast of Lake Ontario, but will probably be short lived with winds shifting later Tuesday. Still, several inches will be possible downwind of the lake. Highs will be in the 20s.
There remains a chance for some widespread snow on Wednesday, but the current trend in the weather models is for this system to stay south. This will be something to watch over the weekend.
Assuming that system stays south, our air will be cold with morning lows in the single digits and 10s and afternoon highs in the mid 20s. These would actually be slightly below the seasonal averages, for a change.
With the cold air, the Great Lakes will likely be producing snow, but west winds may keep most of it out of the Finger Lakes on Wednesday and possibly Thursday.
Cold air, and possible lake snows, will stick around into next weekend before temperatures begin to moderate and warm again.
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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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Can you explain why this January has seemed cloudier than usual? I think there may have been one sunny day. Thanks, Scott
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
I would not say there is any single cause. January is typically very cloudy. This year, with an active weather pattern and warm waters on the Great Lakes, there is little opportunity for sunshine.