Quick look at Sunday’s rain and snow event

Sunday Forecast Update

An area of low pressure will pass to our south on Sunday, spreading precipitation into the Finger Lakes for most of the daytime hours.

Precipitation will arrive Saturday night, starting out as all rain. By dawn Sunday, snow will start to mix in and take over in the higher elevations of the western Southern Tier.

From there, it will be a gradual change over from rain to snow, working from higher elevations to lower elevations, and from southwest to northeast.

The precipitation may come down heavily at times, though temperatures will be mild in the mid 30s.

Higher elevations, above about 1500 feet, will see the most snow, and some localized pockets could push towards 6 inches. Mid-range elevations, between about 1000-1500 feet, will probably see a couple slushy inches, mostly falling later in the day. Below 1000 feet, and especially along lake shores, the rain may hold on through the afternoon, not turning over to snow until after sunset. Accumulations will range from next to nothing, to perhaps an inch or two in some areas.

Road conditions will also vary, but should generally remain in decent shape through the daytime hours. Higher elevation rural roads will have the best chance for snow to stick while the sun is up. After sunset, it will be easier for the snow to stick. Snowfall rates will start to decline around this time as well, however, limited the travel impacts.

Of course, it bears saying that temperatures a mere one to two degrees in either direction could alter the elevation levels and snow amounts described above. Some models do show more snow falling, but in these borderline, mild cases, I tend to find that the warmer solutions tend to verify.

Light snow will continue during the evening, tapering to flurries through Monday morning. Little in the way of accumulation or travel trouble is expected.

Please note: I will be unable to answer specific questions this weekend due to feeling “under the weather”. I anticipate being mostly recovered by Monday morning in time for the usual weekday morning blog post.

More Information:

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