Weekend Weather Forecast
High pressure will mainly have control of the weather this weekend across the Finger Lakes.
However, there will be a couple of subtle influences that could touch off a widely isolated shower or two.
A frontal boundary left behind by low pressure is situated along the coastline of New England and the Mid-Atlantic. As some waves of energy travel along this front, a shower or two may get thrown back into our region.
This would be most likely late this afternoon and into the evening. Ultimately, though, most if not all the area will stay dry.
Much of the region is starting off with some sun this morning, but a stripe of cloudiness is hanging on in the eastern FLX. River valley fog is also common through the Southern Tier.
As a general rule of thumb, today will be sunny with a mix of clouds. Winds will be nearly calm and variable in direction with highs rising into the low and locally mid 80s. Dewpoints will range through the 60s.
Overnight lows will drop back into the mid 60s with any of those isolated, stray showers departing well before sunrise.
Saturday will also have a mix of sun and clouds with a very low chance for an isolated, brief shower. This will be the result of a small impulse of energy passing through the region during the afternoon. Again, most, if not all, of the region will stay dry.
Temperatures will add a couple of degrees with highs mostly in the mid 80s, but locally into the upper 80s. Dewpoints will remain in the 60s.
Sunday will have just a few clouds to mix with the sunshine and no chances for rain. It will be the hottest day of the weekend, with widespread upper 80s and a few places hitting 90 degrees. Dewpoints will mainly be in the 60s but could slip back into the 50s for a time, making it feel less muggy than it has.
Winds will be light and variable through the weekend and will frequently be nearly calm.
Next Week’s Weather
Humidity will increase again on Monday with dewpoints in the upper half of the 60s. Temperatures will also rise a degree or two more, with most places somewhere around 90 degrees. Heat index values will be a couple of degrees warmer.
The heat and humidity will provide fuel for afternoon and evening showers and storms, providing there is some feature to trigger the activity. This remains to be seen, though a more active pattern will begin to unfold.
Showers and storms will be more common on Tuesday, but even then, it may not be a total washout of a day.
Temperatures on Tuesday will likely be a touch lower than on Monday, but it may feel worse with dewpoints climbing into the low 70s.
Wednesday is uncertain at this point with a cold front set to move through the area. If the front moves through quickly, there may not be much of an opportunity for rain. If it is slow, however, showers and storms will be possible.
Temperatures behind the front will settle into the 70s by Thursday, if not Wednesday. Another stretch of quiet weather will begin behind the front as well, likely lasting through next weekend.
Temperatures will not take long to return to the low 80s, but do not look like they will get much higher, at least until the middle of the next week, if not longer.
Update on Wednesday’s Storm Aftermath
Wednesday, July 10, 2024 will go down as one of the more impressive tornado events in New York history.
So far, there have been 7 confirmed tornadoes across the state, including 2 within the FLX Weather forecast area (Genesee and Wayne counties). At least 6 funnel clouds were also reported and confirmed by the NWS, including near Ithaca. A funnel cloud is like a tornado, only without making contact with the ground.
The NWS is still investigating damage in several areas, including along a stretch from Ovid/Interlaken, though Moravia/Locke and into Tully. Unfortunately, the NWS made no mention of the Homer area as part of their investigation plans. From the reports I have received, however, it seems that damage was more likely caused by a microburst than a tornado.
Throughout the event, all 17 of my forecasting counties had a tornado warning within them at some point. So far, 13 of 17 have reported some sort of severe weather.
The 7 tornadoes makes this tied for the third most tornadoes in a single day in NY State since records began in 1950.
Thankfully, based on the data available so far, all of these tornadoes were small, brief, and weak.
i will continue to share the results of the NWS investigations as the data becomes available.
Got Weather Pics?
Did you capture some stunning clouds yesterday? Or perhaps you have other weather photos that you love to show off? Now is your chance to share them with the whole region, in the annual FLX Weather Calendar & Almanac! The deadline for submitting photos for the 2025 calendar is July 20th!
Don’t risk missing out — photos of all weather types and all seasons for consideration in the calendar are acceptable!
Just fill out the easy uploader form at the following link to submit your entries. » Submit your photos here! «
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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
