Staying Sunny
High pressure will keep a firm grip on our weather through the weekend.
Sunny skies and light winds will dominate the weather for the next several days as a result. About the only notable day-to-day variation will be in the climbing temperatures.
After a chilly start to the day Friday, highs will climb into the low 60s for most areas. Some of the typically warmer valley and urban areas will see mid 60s, while some higher elevations will end up just short of 60 degrees.
Friday night will see temperatures ranging through the 30s. Typically colder areas across the Southern Tier and Central New York will see low 30s, while many lake shores will stay in the upper 30s.
Saturday will add a couple of degrees to the highs with mostly mid and upper 60s. Winds will be nearly calm, but will turn to the southwest Saturday night.
Sunday morning will start in the upper 30s and low 40s for most, though some mid 30s across Chemung, Tioga, Tompkins, and Cortland counties are still likely.
Afternoon highs will hit 70 degrees in the warmer areas, with mid 60s in the hills and upper 60s elsewhere. A few thin clouds may drift through on Sunday.
Monday will be warmer all around, with morning lows in the mid and upper 40s to the south and low 50s to the north. Afternoon highs will mainly be in the low 70s.
Tuesday will be the peak of the warmth, with highs in the mid 70s after morning lows again in the 40s and 50s.
Clouds will finally return on Wednesday with some late afternoon showers and evening rain. Morning lows will start in the low and mid 50s while afternoon highs mostly stick to the low 70s.
It will turn notably colder on Thursday with some scattered showers. Highs will be in the lower half of the 50s.
Temperatures will immediately start another warming trend. Another day or two at least near 70 degrees a possibility in the final days of October.
More Information:
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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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john bruzdzinski
Drew:
With NOAA and the Weather Channel (and others) putting out their Winter Forecasts, do you do something similar? Everyone seems to be leaning toward a mild La Nina that brings somewhat low forecast confidence. There is one outlier…never heard of him….that is calling for a wild winter (snow)…https://www.yahoo.com/news/forecasters-departs-la-ni-pattern-174256237.html
Keep up the great work.
John B. in Syracuse
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Most, not all, of the winter forecasts are wild guesses at best and desperate click-farming hype at worst. As for me, I do not even make an attempt since I believe the seasonal forecasting in general to be low accuracy, and outside of a few select industries that need to know, completely unnecessary for the general public.
For seasonal forecasting, I cautiously send people to NOAA, since they at least have the least incentive to be fueled by hype and because the Climate Prediction Center dedicates themselves to studying and making these types of forecasts as opposed to doing it once a year, or at most 4 times a year.
john bruzdzinski
Drew:
Thanks for that insight. Yes, even when the forecast gets outside of 4-5 days, some accuracy is lost. Going 2-3-4 months out…that’s low confidence for sure.
John B.