As this pattern becomes established, there will be a small break in the cold on Saturday, while Sunday will be snow free.
Friday Morning
What: Lake effect snow showers
Where: Mainly in the northeastern FLX, but scattered elsewhere
Impacts: Minimal
A spray of lake effect snow showers off Lake Ontario continues to impact the northeastern Finger Lakes. Most of these are too light to cause any significant problems. Locally, perhaps an inch falls, but most areas will only see a dusting. The snow will lift north and exit the region before midday.
Friday Afternoon
What: Cloudy
Impacts: None
The rest of the daytime hours should be cloudy but quiet. Afternoon temperatures will work their way into the mid 20s with a few warmer pockets in the upper 20s. South winds will be light.
Friday Night
What: Scattered snow showers
Impacts: Minimal
A warm front will push into the area this evening, bringing some scattered snow showers. A few briefly heavier bursts cannot be ruled out. Accumulations will remain under an inch.
South winds will increase, but speeds should not get much higher than 10 mph. The southerly flow will hold temperatures steady this evening.
Additional snow showers are likely overnight, possibly with an area of more widespread snow moving in during the predawn hours.
Temperatures will rise slightly overnight, with most areas getting into the upper 20s.
Saturday
What: Occasional snow
Impacts: Minimal
Widespread snow may be ongoing to start Saturday morning and may linger for a few hours after sunrise. Most areas should see 0-2 inches, but a few localized amounts upward of 3 inches will be possible. Untreated roads will get a bit snowy.
During the afternoon and evening, a few localized squalls off Lake Erie may drift through the region. These should be brief with little accumulation but would cause some temporary travel interruptions.
Temperatures will make their way into the upper 30s as south winds continue. A slight shift to the southwest is expected late in the day. This will, by far, be the warmest day for the foreseeable future.
Sunday
What: Sun and clouds
No active weather is expected on Sunday with a mix of sun and clouds. Winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph. These winds will import cool air, with temperatures only rising a couple of degrees over the course of the day for a high in the mid 20s.
Monday
What: Scattered snow showers
Impacts: Minimal
Snow showers will return to the area on Monday as a reinforcing shot of cold air pushes in. Snow accumulation should be minimal with little impact on travel conditions.
Temperatures will start the day in the upper 10s and top out in the mid 20s.
Tuesday
What: Cold with limited lake effect
Impacts: Slight
Lake effect snow looks limited on Tuesday to the very fringes of the region. There is a chance that the Lake Ontario band in particular sets up north of the area and misses altogether.
The cold will be a bigger story than any snow. Temperatures will start the day in the single digits and struggle into the low 10s for an afternoon high. Winds will be breezy with speeds around 15 mph and gusts around 30 mph.
This combination will result in morning wind chills as low as -20 and afternoon wind chills around or below -10.
Wednesday and Beyond
This pattern of cold temperatures and frequent snow showers will continue for the foreseeable future.
Small weather systems will bring widespread snow showers, followed by some areas of lake effect snow. Timing these systems more than a few days out isn’t really possible, but they are expected to come through every couple days at least.
Temperatures will remain cold. There is a real possibility that even reaching 25 degrees again in January will be a stretch, and there could be many days with highs in the 10s and lows in the single digits.
For what it is worth, the longer range models favor consistent cold through February as well.
Regardless, now that the January Thaw is behind us, Deep Winter is arriving.
More Information:
» Finger Lakes Weather Radar
» Zip Code Forecasts
» Get the FLX Weather Mobile App
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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