Areas of rain with some embedded afternoon thunderstorms will gradually work across the Finger Lakes today as a weather system passes through. Rain chances will drop tonight with only stray showers expected through the weekend and into next week. Heat and humidity will build next week.
Thursday
What: Showers likely, thunderstorms possible
A warm front will lift north toward the region, spreading showers into the area later this morning and into the early afternoon. The rain may become widespread for a time over the northern and western Finger Lakes, while areas further south and east are a bit more scattered.
That will flip for the late afternoon and evening, with the focal point shifting to the southeast. It is during this time that a few thunderstorms may become embedded within the overall area of precipitation as the associated cold front catches up with the warm front. Some gusty winds or small hail may accompany any storms that manage to develop, but a widespread severe threat is not expected.
Precipitation should wind down shortly after sunset, though a few showers may linger into the overnight.
Temperatures today will mainly be in the low 70s with a few warmer pockets. Overnight lows will be in the upper 50s and low 60s.
Friday
What: Sun and clouds. A stray shower.
The chances for rain on Friday have been dropping. There may still be a couple stray showers around, but many areas will likely stay dry. The highest chances for rain will be over the southern half of the region during the afternoon hours. Afternoon highs will be in the mid 70s with overnight lows in the upper 50s and low 60s.
Saturday
What: Sun and clouds. A stray shower.
The front that passes through the area tonight will stall out over the Mid-Atlantic Friday and Saturday. Rain is expected to continue to stay south on Saturday, though a few stray showers may once again be found, especially over the Southern Tier. Skies across the south may end up rather cloudy, but will be more mixed and trending sunnier in the north. There should be little change in temperature, with highs in the mid 70s and overnight lows in the upper 50s.
Sunday
What: Sun and clouds. A shower?
Sunday should be mostly dry, but a stray shower in the afternoon cannot be totally ruled out yet. Temperatures will start to increase on Sunday with many areas around 80 degrees. Humidity levels should remain comfortable, though.
Monday
What: Sun and clouds. A shower?
Temperatures will continue to climb with highs well into the 80s on Monday. Humidity may start to nose upward as well, but should not be too high yet. Like Sunday, a stray shower cannot be totally ruled out, but generally dry weather is expected.
Tuesday
What: Getting hot
By Tuesday, it will be hot with a chance that highs may be pushing 90 degrees. Humidity will continue to come up as well. A pop up afternoon shower or storm is possible, but generally not expected at this time.
Wednesday
What: Hot and humid. A few showers?
Heat and humidity will be firmly in place on Wednesday with highs at or above 90 degrees and dewpoints pushing 70 degrees. That will make it feel even hotter and more uncomfortable with heat index values over 95 degrees. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible, but dependent on something, like a small weather system or leftover upstream storms from the previous night, to get the action going.
Further Out
Temperatures will remain hot for several days late next week. Temperatures become less certain toward the 4th of July Weekend. The atmosphere will have plenty of fuel for showers and storms during this time period, but what sort of small disturbances or larger weather systems may or may not be present to jump start storm development is uncertain at this time.
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