Rain and Storms Likely Today
An area of low pressure over Wisconsin this morning pushed a warm front through the Finger Lakes overnight.
Warm, humid air will push northeast into the Finger Lakes as the low tracks across the Great Lakes. This will set the stage for some locally heavy rain late today.
Until then, just a few light scattered showers will be possible through the morning and early afternoon hours. Clouds will remain thick throughout this time, though one or two brief glimpses of sunshine may be possible.
Temperatures will rise into the mid and upper 70s with slightly muggy feeling dewpoints in the 60s.
After 3 PM, rain and thunderstorms will move into the Finger Lakes from the west. These will continue into the evening. Some areas could see multiple rounds of heavy rain from the thunderstorms, and all areas should see at least some rain.
Severe thunderstorms are not a concern today, but some isolated minor flooding, mostly in urbanized areas, will be possible. Most areas will see between a half and one inch of rain, but locally, over an inch may fall.
A cold front will drop southeast across the area between midnight and dawn Thursday, ending the chances for rain.
Dry Stretch Extends to Four Days
It now seems likely that our stretch of dry weather will extend to four days with no precipitation expected behind the cold front for Thursday.
Instead, after some morning cloud cover, skies will turn clear by the afternoon. Winds will be from the north-northwest with top gusts of 20-25 mph.
Temperatures will fall into the mid and upper 50s by Thursday morning. Afternoon temperatures will reach a pleasant high in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees.
Friday looks great as well with abundant sunshine and just a few fair-weather clouds. Winds will be light from the north. After morning lows in the upper 40s and low 50s, afternoon highs will reach the low 70s.
Saturday will be very similar with lots of sun and light winds. What wind there is will swing around to the southeast. Morning temperatures will again be in the upper 40s and low 50s. Afternoon highs will be a touch warmer, with mid and upper 70s.
Sunday is also expected to remain dry, but clouds from the south may begin to move into the Finger Lakes region. Areas that see more clouds may have temperatures held back, but if the sun stays out, look for upper 70s and low 80s.
It is increasingly likely that a tropical airmass will move in early next week with thunderstorms capable of torrential downpours. The details, of course, are still very unclear.
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