Fine Day Monday, Showers Tuesday
The weather this week will remain a bit unsettled, but after a soggy weekend, there will be improvement.
The region this morning is subject to areas of locally dense fog. This is especially prevalent in valley locations. Some low cloud cover also exists.
This should burn off during the mid to late morning, revealing a mixed sky with sunshine and some clouds. Sunshine will be more likely the further north you go, but most of the region should see at least some sun.
One of the best parts of today will be the lack of rain. The frontal boundary that plagued us most of the weekend is now too far south to bring more rain to the area.
High temperatures will reach the low 70s today with light and variable winds.
Rain will return to the region on Tuesday, but it should generally be light.
An area of light rain will skirt across the southern half of the region Tuesday morning. The northern edge of this steadier rain will roughly be from Dansville to Penn Yan to Tully. A few scattered showers will also be possible to the north of this.
After a midday and early afternoon break, scattered showers and maybe a brief thunderstorm will pop up during the afternoon. Some areas will probably not see rain during this time. The showers will push east during the evening and should exit the region well before dawn Wednesday.
High temperatures Tuesday will be in the low 70s to the south and into the mid 70s further north.
One Main Shot of Late Week Rain
A few scattered showers may be possible on Wednesday, but most of the area will likely stay dry. The morning in particular may have some spits of drizzle.
The atmosphere should dry out some for the afternoon, bringing the chance for increasingly sunny skies late in the day.
High temperatures Wednesday should reach the mid 70s throughout the region.
A new system will take aim at the region late Thursday. This will be the best chance for significant rain during the second half of the week.
Models are consistent in bringing low pressure into the northeastern United States with an area of heavy rain. However, they are not consistent is which areas see the heaviest rain or when that rain may be. Some bring the rain in during the afternoon, others overnight.
At this time, we are still very much in a ‘wait and see’ mode for this system.
Any rain Friday will be associated with the tail end of this system during the morning hours. The day should become increasingly sunny after any early showers. There is also hope for a dry weekend, though it is much too uncertain to count on at this early stage.
Temperatures should continue to hover near or slightly above 70 degrees for most of this week, the weekend, and even into early next week. There are some hints, however, of warmer weather as we head into the end of June and beginning of July.
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