Quiet start to active weather week

finger lakes weather forecast monday february 3 2020 sun clouds front ice freezing rain snow
No travel issues are expected today with increasing sunshine and mild temperatures, but active weather will have an impact on our region throughout the week. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]
The first week of February will get off to a quiet and mild start, but the rest of the week will be anything but.

Morning clouds will give way to a mix of sunshine and thin clouds this afternoon. Milder air will sneak into the region as the clouds depart.

High temperatures this afternoon will range throughout the 40s. Higher elevations will stick in the low 40s, but lower elevations could get as warm as the upper 40s, especially in the Southern Tier.

As the warm air builds, cool air from the north will push back. The result will be a developing frontal boundary that stretches from the Midwest into the Northeast. The position of this front will be important for determining Tuesday and Wednesday’s weather.

The front will sink south tonight, but still may be close enough for some precipitation to develop on Tuesday.

Precipitation will likely start as some rain showers Tuesday morning before turning to drizzle for the midday hours. Some freezing drizzle will then be possible as temperatures drop Tuesday afternoon and evening.

A glaze of ice will be possible, making untreated surfaces slick. Be aware of this risk and allow for some extra time traveling tomorrow afternoon and evening.

Temperatures Tuesday will start in the mid 30s, but end up in the upper 20s by dinnertime.

The front will most likely be too far south for precipitation on Wednesday. Some sunshine may even be possible with highs in the upper 20s.

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Higher Impact Weather Late in the Week

A series of low pressure systems will move towards the Finger Lakes late this week.

At this point in time, it looks as though we will see all modes of precipitation.

Early Thursday morning, precipitation will break out across the region. This may start as a little snow but should quickly turn over to ice. Freezing rain will be possible through the morning before tapering off and turning to rain showers Thursday afternoon.

This ice could pose significant travel problems. Those with travel plans Thursday, especially in the morning, should be wary of the forecast and may want to consider alternate plans.

Precipitation may end for a time Thursday afternoon as one low departs and the next approaches. Temperatures could jump as high as the 40s, which would greatly improve travel conditions for the afternoon and evening.

Rain is then expected to move in Thursday evening. Friday morning, the rain will turn over to snow. A major snowfall does not seem likely, but several inches will still be possible.

The timing of these transitions in precipitation type, and how much of each will fall, will be the main question to determine this week.

A few flurries will be possible on Saturday with temperatures in the 20s.

One final low will be possible on Sunday. This low has both the greatest potential to miss us, but also the greatest potential for a major snow. Stay tuned.

TRAVEL CONCERNS SUMMARY:

  • Monday: No travel concerns
  • Tuesday: LOW: Freezing drizzle possible in the afternoon/evening.
  • Wednesday: No travel concerns
  • Thursday AM: MEDIUM/HIGH: Freezing rain likely, possibly significant
  • Friday: MEDIUM: Snow likely with some accumulation

Local News from the Cortland Voice

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.