Sunny and Warm
Monday will pick up where the weekend left off with more sunshine and warm temperatures.
However, over the course of the day, things will start to change.
High pressure is pushing further east over the Atlantic Ocean while an area of low pressure develops over the middle of the country.
For today, our weather remains quiet with plenty of sunshine early on. Clouds will gradually filter in during the afternoon hours, eventually building into an overcast.
Until then, sunshine and southwest winds will give temperatures another boost. Many places should reach the low and even mid 50s. Higher elevations will peak in the upper 40s.
Tonight, temperatures will slide back through the 30s. Most areas should stay at or above freezing overnight.
Unsettled Week
Light precipitation will move in from the southwest as early as dawn tomorrow morning. Most of this should fall as rain, but a few pockets of snow or even sleet may be possible. No travel impacts are expected.
Rain showers will taper off for the middle of the day before increasing again in the afternoon. Areas west of Seneca Lake could see the rain turn to light snow during the evening hours. Locally an inch or two may accumulate, especially over higher elevations and west of I-390.
Tuesday will have temperatures range from west to east, with the coolest highs around 40 degrees in the west, and the warmest in the mid 40s to the east.
On Wednesday, low pressure will approach from the southwest and should track directly over the region Wednesday evening. This will result in a little rain or mixed precipitation early, followed by rain showers through the day. Temperatures should reach the mid 40s.
The exact track of the low Wednesday evening will determine what areas see what weather overnight.
Along and east of the low, temperatures will probably remain warm enough for mostly rain to fall. Gusty winds will also be possible.
To the west of the low, rain may turn over to snow. Higher elevations will turn over first and have the best chance at seeing a couple inches.
Overall, a big snowfall is not expected across our region Wednesday night into early Thursday. Most areas should see little if any snow accumulation.
Thursday and Friday will have blustery west winds as colder air returns. Significant lake effect snows are likely due east of Lake Ontario, well north of the Finger Lakes region. Heavy snow may also be possible south of Buffalo off Lake Erie, west of the Finger Lakes. Locally, a spray of on and off lake effect snow showers from Lake Erie will be possible, with most areas seeing minor accumulations.
Temperatures on Thursday will fall from the 30s early back through the 20s. Friday will see a high between 25-30. A chilly weekend is then expected before temperatures cycle upward again for at least the first week of March.
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