Even warmer Monday as brush fire risk continues

finger lakes weather forecast monday march 9 2020 sun warm brush fire
Sunshine, breezy winds, and even warmer temperatures will continue to create conditions favorable for brush fires on Monday. Rain moves in tomorrow. [Photo by Meteorologist Drew Montreuil]

Warm, Sunny, and Dry

High pressure off the coast of the Carolinas and low pressure over the Midwest will continue to pump warm air into the Finger Lakes.

Temperatures are starting the day in the 40s and 50s with a few passing clouds.

Skies will be mixed throughout the day, but more sunny than cloudy until late. Then, a thin overcast will filter the sunshine before thickening further overnight.

Southwest winds will be persistent today with gusts to 25 mph.

The sunshine and winds will push temperatures will into the 60s this afternoon. A few places could even touch 70 degrees. Even that would still be several degrees shy of any records, though.

As temperatures rise, the relative humidity will drop. Most of the day will have relative humidity values under 40%. The dry wind and sunshine will continue to cause dead vegetation from last year to lose its moisture. This will provide a ready ignition source for brush fires, while the gusty winds will cause any fires that spark to spread quickly.

Common sense should prevail today by using caution with flames, sparks, and used cigarettes.

Relative humidity values will come up by this evening as moisture works in ahead of the aforementioned low pressure. A couple showers may even sneak in during the overnight hours, coming after midnight. Overnight temperatures will mostly be in the 40s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday march 9 2020
Click to enlarge.

Rain and Somewhat Cooler

Tuesday looks to be a wet day in the Finger Lakes as rain showers increase during the morning. After a small lull in the midday, rain will become even more widespread for the afternoon. Most areas should see between a quarter-inch and a half-inch of rain.

The lull during the midday hours will coincide with the warmest temperatures of the day. Highs should reach the mid or upper 50s at that time.

Colder air will move in behind the rain Tuesday evening. Temperatures should reach the mid and upper 20s by Wednesday morning.

Wednesday will have a mix of sun and clouds with a light north wind. High temperatures will be at their coolest for the work-week, topping out around 40 degrees.

Thursday will see a return to south winds. Morning sunshine will give way to some afternoon clouds, but the warm air will return with highs in the mid 50s.

Rain moves back in on Friday as another system and cold front move through. Temperatures will depend on the timing and nature of the rain, but should reach at least the 50s.

Another small cool-down will occur behind that system for Saturday, Sunday, and Monday with highs in the upper 30s and low 40s. Another warm-up looms for next week.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.