Scattered storms rumble through the Finger Lakes this afternoon

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday july 29 2020 scattered thunderstorms cold front
Scattered thunderstorms, one or two of which could turn strong, will move through the Finger Lakes this afternoon. [Photo by Nanci McCraine]

Cold Front Approaches

Another cold front will move into the Finger Lakes region this afternoon, triggering some scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Most of the region is off to a sunny start this morning, though a few clouds out ahead of the cold front dot the area as well.

Generally sunny conditions will continue through the morning with a steady increase in fair-weather cumulus clouds. These will continue to build and grow this afternoon.

finger lakes interactive weather radar
Check the latest radar and current weather conditions with the FLX Weather interactive, mobile-friendly radar page. Just click this image!

A few scattered showers will skirt across the northern half of the region late this morning and into the midday hours. Thunderstorms will start to pop up during the early afternoon.

Throughout the mid and late afternoon, thunderstorms will track southeast across the region. The storms may be able to consolidate into a broken line after 5 PM, especially for areas south and east of a Syracuse-Penn Yan-Wellsville line.

Most of the storms today will not be severe, but a couple isolated severe wind gusts will be possible. Flooding will not be much of a concern since the storms will move along steadily. However, if a given location sees multiple storms, a little poor drainage flooding could be possible.

High temperatures will reach the low and mid 80s early this afternoon but will be cooler in the wake of any thunderstorms.

The front will stall out overhead, keeping the chances for showers going into the overnight and Thursday. Neither of these time periods look as active as this afternoon with mostly isolated, small showers.

Overnight temperatures will fall into the low and mid 60s. A few areas of fog will be possible, especially where it rains late in the day. Thursday will see highs mostly in the upper 70s and low 80s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wednesday july 29 2020
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Weekend Weather

The frontal boundary will dissipate rather than move through the region. It may survive enough for a stray shower early Friday. Of the next few days, the chances for rain are lowest on Friday.

Temperatures will again be in the upper 70s and low 80s with a mix of sun and clouds.

A deck of thin clouds will work in from the southwest Friday night, signaling the approach of a new weather system.

Saturday should stay dry, though the clouds will remain in place and likely thicken as the day goes on.

Temperatures should be a bit warmer, with highs reaching into the low and mid 80s. Some rain may approach from the southwest for the evening and overnight hours. If this arrived sooner, temperatures would be a bit lower Saturday afternoon.

Whenever the rain arrives, there will be the potential for some heavy rain and thunder. The most likely time for this to happen appears to be early Sunday morning.

Low pressure should track from western to northern New York during the day on Sunday. This path would favor additional rain and thunderstorms over our area Sunday afternoon.

The nearby proximity to the low and adequate winds aloft are reason to consider the potential for strong storms Sunday afternoon. However, this will ultimately be determined by the path of the low and influenced by the timing of the rain and any sun that works out Sunday morning. Stay tuned.

Behind this system, temperatures will remain in the 70s and low 80s for much of next week. An early look at the day-to-day weather hints at a cold front moving through during the middle of the week.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

5 Responses

  1. Avatar
    Franklin Crawford
    | Reply

    Refreshed the page. Please do tell me 9+10 = 19? Or has the Covid disturbed basic math as well? 🙂

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      | Reply

      I’ve disabled the captcha for the time being and will see if a different anti-spam method works. I think sometimes the math one gets confused due to caching of old data…

  2. Avatar
    Franklin Crawford
    | Reply

    Greetings, Drew: Thanks again for your hard work. One peeve: So many different places with their own weather systems exist with the 14850 zip code. That’s not your doing, I’m sure, and I’m at a loss to think of a better way to forecast storms that sometimes hit, say, Danby, NY or Brooktondale, NY, but not anywhere else. Weather is a study in chaos and I understand that it’s near to impossible to give personalized weather service to small towns scattered throughout the 14850 area. I’m thinking of starting a Citizens Weather Watch Blog or some such, so folks can report what’s happened overhead and on the ground in real time. That would take a little doing. Can you reco the best online satellite overview for watching storm paths? Weather Underground used to have a good one, but it hasn’t been up lately and may not be up again, given the state of the world. Also, the CAPTCHA is giving me false incorrect answers so I can’t get this reply through.

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
      | Reply

      Yes, the zip-code based forecasts are not completely ideal for our region, and 14850 is a great example. But, it is the best I am able to do based on my coding skill and the time investment (which wasn’t small!) to get even that working.

      A weather spotter program has long been on my list of future ideas, but it honestly isn’t a high priority when I can’t even get things like the Alerts working smoothly. Perhaps in time. Meanwhile, I did start a Facebook group last Spring which has now grown to over 2000 members. A couple dozen people actively post their reports, pictures, etc., so that is helpful…but not everyone is on Facebook and I frankly am strong against relying on Facebook for anything long term.

      For satellite imagery, I use the new NOAA GOES-East viewer page: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=cgl&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12

      • Avatar
        Franklin Crawford
        | Reply

        Thanks for your message Drew. It there a alternate way to contact you to discuss hyper-local weather-spotting online? Please let me know.

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