Sunny, warm pattern draws to a close today

finger lakes weather forecast tuesday november 10 2020 sunny warm cold front wednesday
Temperatures will push into the 70s again today, but a cold front tomorrow will usher in a more typical November weather pattern. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Rain Returns Tomorrow

Today will be one final day of sunshine and warm temperatures before a cold front moves through the region on Wednesday.

Skies will again be mostly sunny throughout the day. The best chance for some thin wisps of cirrus cloud to move through will be during the midday and early afternoon hours.

There will be a bit more of a breeze than in recent days with south winds of 5-10 mph. Top gusts should be near or just over 20 mph.

The mid-levels of the atmosphere are not quite as warm as yesterday, so daytime highs today will also be a touch below yesterday. Still, most areas should be near or above 70 degrees. Mid 70s are most likely in and around Rochester, stretching east into Wayne and northern Ontario counties.

Skies will remain clear into the evening as the south wind increases slightly to 10-15 mph. The wind will remain at that level through the night and into Wednesday morning.

Clouds will finally move in after midnight and showers could start to move in before the sun is up. Between the wind and eventual increase in clouds, overnight temperatures will range from 55 to 60 degrees.

Showers will pass through the region Wednesday morning. A rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out, but most areas will not see any thunderstorms. During the morning, the rain should be widespread, albeit not too heavy.

By the afternoon, most of the rain will end, though a few lingering showers will remain possible. The front itself will not move through until the late afternoon and early evening. Temperatures should rise into the 60s ahead of the front, with the warmest air again in the northwestern quadrant of the region.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast tuesday november 10 2020
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Cooler Pattern Settles In

Colder air will start to move in behind the front Wednesday night. There could be some clearing of the skies, which would allow temperatures to fall back into the mid 30s. This is most likely west of Keuka Lake.

To the east, clouds are more likely to linger through the night, keeping temperatures closer to 40 degrees.

The clouds may push back west Thursday morning before clearing out completely Thursday afternoon. With gentle north winds of 5-10 mph, temperatures on Thursday will be stuck in the mid to perhaps upper 40s.

Thursday night figures to be quite chilly beneath clear skies. However, a south wind will develop after midnight, halting the temperature’s evening free-fall. Most areas will end up between 30-35 degrees.

Friday will be sunny with temperatures rebounding to the low and mid 50s, aided by the south wind.

A subtle, moisture-starved front will move through Friday evening with some clouds and perhaps a few drips of rain. Overnight temperatures will again depend on the clouds clearing out, with 20s and low 30s possible where they do, and temperatures in the 35-40 degree range where they don’t.

Saturday will have some sunny breaks early on, but clouds will increase for the afternoon. High temperatures will only be in the mid 40s.

Periods of rain are likely Sunday into Monday as the next system swings through. Sunday, on the warm side of the system, should have highs in the mid and upper 50s. Temperatures will drop through Monday with rain showers, turning to flurries Monday night.

Snow showers will be possible into Tuesday with little to no accumulation.

Chilly weather looks like it will stick around for the rest of next week and into the next one as well. Occasional chances for light rain showers and/or flurries will continue, but none of these chances look particularly impressive at this time.

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Meteorologist Drew Montreuil
Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys and also run a goat milk soap business, Ye Olde Goat Cart. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.