Scattered showers and storms through the weekend

Unsettled and Humid

A weak frontal boundary will meander around the region through the weekend, keeping our weather humid and unsettled.

This boundary will sink south into the region today. Clouds will be common, and a few stray showers may pop up through the morning hours.

By the afternoon, a divide will set up between the northern half of the region and the southern half.

To the north, sunshine will gradually increase. Light north winds will kick in, knocking the humidity down a little. Precipitation is not expected this afternoon in the northern half of the area.

Further south, the chances for rain will gradually increase. Afternoon showers and storms will be most possible near the NY-PA state line. It will remain humid with dewpoints around 70 degrees.

Any thunderstorms that develop this afternoon will have the potential for heavy rain and slow movement. Some localized flooding may be possible.

Temperatures throughout the region will top out in the low 80s today.

Saturday and Sunday will see the boundary lift north of the area. Humid air will overtake the region once again. Both days will have highs in the low and mid 80s, with the warmest areas being in the northern half of the region, as is commonplace.

Showers and storms will be possible both days during the afternoon. Storm coverage will remain scattered, and some areas may not see rain either day. Those that do, though, will have a small chance for flooding with heavy downpours and slow storm movement.

The Weather Next Week

Showers and storms should become widespread on Monday as a cold front moves through the area.

The chance for a few stronger storms continues to be watched. The timing of the front during the midday hours may help reduce that risk slightly. The overall severe weather set up does not look too robust either, so my feelings at this early stage are for low chances for severe weather.

This front will finally sweep away some of the heat and humidity. Dewpoints will drop from near 70 Monday afternoon to the mid and upper 50s by Tuesday afternoon.

Temperatures will take a smaller hit with highs stabilizing in the upper 70s for much of next week.

Tuesday will be a dry, pleasant day across the region. By Wednesday and Thursday, we will need to monitor the left over moisture from Hurricane Ida. Ida will strike Louisiana on Monday, most likely as a major (Category 3+) hurricane.

Our saving grace may be the cold front Monday. As this front dissipates over the Mid-Atlantic and Tennessee Valley, it may serve as a focal point for the remains of Ida, keeping rain to our south. At this time, I am not too concerned about heavy rain from Ida in our region, but it remains too early to be certain.

Another weather system will dive out of the Upper Midwest late next week or into the weekend. This could lead to a brief return of the humidity along with the chance for some rain. This will just be a short interruption to an otherwise comfortable pattern that should continue well into September.

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This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.