High Pressure, Quiet Weather
A pair of high pressure systems will get our week off to a warm and sunny start.
One of these highs is developing over New England and will be the primary high today. Tomorrow, the New England high will weaken and a new high will strengthen over the Carolinas. Meanwhile, a strong storm system will lift northeast into the Great Lakes and up into Canada.
This set up will bring a couple of warm, sunny days to the area today and tomorrow. Both days should have ample sunshine with the occasional batch of thin clouds passing through. These clouds will be more likely today than tomorrow. Within today, the morning hours and nighttime hours are the most likely time to have thin clouds.
Winds will be south-southeasterly today with the high over New England. Wind speeds will be 5-10 mph with a few gusts approaching 25 mph. The wind will gradually taper off during the afternoon.
High temperatures will push into the upper 80s for the Rochester area with mid 70s through much of the remainder of the region. Some higher elevations of the Southern Tier and Central New York will be in the low 70s.
These temperatures are about fifteen degrees above the daily average, but still about ten degrees shy of any records.
Tonight, temperatures will range from near 60 in Rochester and along the Lake Ontario shoreline, to the mid 50s across the Southern Tier and into Cortland County.
Tuesday will be a degree or two warmer than today as winds turn more southerly and the chance for thin clouds decreases. Rochester will push towards 80 degrees with upper 70s across the I-90 corridor. Mid 70s will be widespread through the southern two-thirds of the Finger Lakes.
Staying Warm Until Saturday
Tuesday night and early Wednesday, a few stray showers will pass through the area. Skies will remain mostly cloudy with a few more scattered showers developing during the afternoon.
None of the rain that falls Wednesday will be heavy. Many areas will not see any rain at all.
Temperatures will take a step back, but most areas should still reach or at least approach 70 degrees.
Thursday looks dry with varying amounts of sunshine and cloud cover. Clouds generally seem more likely in the morning, with sun more likely in the afternoon. High temperatures will nudge into the low 70s.
Friday will return to the mid 70s with another small chance for a few scattered showers. The chances for rain may be even lower than on Wednesday.
A strong weather system will move through the area on Saturday. Rain is likely, and thunderstorms may become possible. The threat for some strong winds with any storms will need to be monitored.
This front will reset our weather pattern. Highs will drop from the low 70s on Saturday to the upper 50s on Sunday. Next week will have daytime highs in the 50s to low 60s. I would not be surprised to see some frost advisories at some point next week.
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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