High pressure takes over in the FLX

finger lakes weather forecast thursday november 4 2021 sun clouds high pressure lake effect chilly
Generally quiet and sunny weather is expected into next week, though a few more stubborn lake effect flurries or showers cannot be ruled out. [Photo by Mike Brown]

Quiet Weather Ahead

The chances for lake effect snow and rain showers will gradually wind down today as high pressure becomes a dominant force in our region.

Some stubborn lake effect continues this morning off Lake Erie thanks to westerly winds just above the surface. Snow showers are scattered throughout the Southern Tier.

These may continue for a time this morning, but conditions for lake effect should gradually deteriorate. Outside of the flurries, skies will be a mix of sun and clouds throughout the day.

High pressure will be nearly overhead today, so winds will be light and variable. Without any warmer air being brought in, high temperatures will stick to about what they have been for the last several days. Most areas will see mid 40s, but higher elevations will stick to the low 40s.

Skies will be mostly clear this evening until some areas of fog develop overnight. Temperatures will be in the low 30s along the lakeshores, near 30 inland across the northern half of the region, with mid and upper 20s to the south.

Friday will be similar to today. High pressure will reorganize itself over Ohio, resulting in light northwest winds overhead. I would not be surprised to see a couple stray showers and flurries off Lake Ontario, but otherwise, it will be dry with a mix of sun and clouds.

Temperatures may add a degree or two, with more areas in the mid 40s and fewer areas in the low 40s. It will be just as cold at night, though, with the same distribution of temperatures between the mid 20s and low 30s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday november 4 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Sunny Weekend, Early Next Week

Temperatures will start to moderate this weekend as high pressure departs to the east. Light south winds will take hold for the weekend and into early next week.

Saturday and Sunday should both be mostly sunny. There is only a small chance for some thin clouds on the edge of a storm system off the East Coast on Sunday, mainly across the far eastern Finger Lakes.

High temperatures on Saturday will range from the upper 40s in a few higher elevations to the low 50s along the Thruway and south into areas like Penn Yan and Dansville. Most of the southern half of the region, outside of those few higher elevations, will top out near 50.

Saturday night will not be quite as cold, either. Most northern and near-lake areas will be in the mid 30s, while the southern half of the area bottoms out around 30 degrees. This will lead into afternoon temperatures in the mid 50s for much of the area.

The pattern continues on Monday with quiet weather and warming temperatures. Highs west of Seneca Lake may reach the low 60s, while mid and upper 50s are more likely to the east. A few clouds will pass through, but it will otherwise be sunny.

A subtle cold front may drop south Monday night with an increase in clouds and perhaps a stray shower. This would set temperatures back to the mid 50s for Tuesday.

Wednesday may have a better chance for rain, but still only some scattered showers. Highs will be in the 50s, but probably in the lower half.

The weather should become increasingly unsettled late next week. This could bring temperatures up again for a time, but ultimately, more chilly weather will build in behind the storm system responsible for the precipitation.

More Information:

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday november 4 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

Late Fall Photos Needed!

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

2 Responses

  1. Alan Johnson

    We received an email notice this morning that we successfully cancelled our monthly subscription. We believe in you and did not cancel our monthly subscription. The subscription is for L J Kroeger, email address is linkroeger@gmail.com.
    Thank you.

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil

      Just sent you an email at that address, Alan. Thanks for reaching out!