Lake snows end, get replaced with some sunshine

finger lakes weather forecast tuesday november 23 2021 lake effect snow showers sunny warming up
Temperatures will remain chilly today but will begin a warming trend for Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Tuesday-Wednesday Weather

Lake effect snow is ongoing this morning as the Lake Ontario band travels south through the region.

From here on out, accumulations will be minimal with an additional inch or less falling. Still, temperatures are cold and the snow is sticking to roads, so there will be a few slick spots to contend with this morning.

The snow band will continue to travel south and weaken and will be nothing more than a few stray flurries by the midday hours. As the snow dissipates, some sun will come in and out of the clouds through the afternoon.

Northwest winds will be stiff today with speeds near or slightly over 10 mph. A few places may see gusts approaching 30 mph. Temperatures will only reach a high in the low and mid 30s.

Skies will gradually clear tonight, though a few stray clouds will be possible from time to time. Winds will be lighter and will slowly turn to the west, then southwest.

Nighttime temperatures will mostly be in the mid 20s. Lakeshore areas will remain in the upper 20s, while a few low 20s will also be possible.

Sunny skies will be abundant to start Wednesday, but by the afternoon, thin clouds will build in from the west. No rain or snow will fall from these clouds, and the sun will probably still shine through them until it sets.

The wind will continue to shift and will become southerly by the afternoon. Speeds will remain gentle at around 5 mph.

The sunshine and southerly winds will give temperatures a boost. Highs will be in the low 40s for the hills of Central New York, ranging to the upper 40s in and around Rochester. Most areas will be in the mid 40s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast tuesday november 23 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Thanksgiving, Black Friday, and the Weekend

South winds and thin clouds will persist through Wednesday night. This will get Thanksgiving off to a less chilly start, with lows mostly in the mid and upper 30s. Afternoon highs will follow suit, reaching the upper 40s to near 50 degrees.

Some breaks of sun will be possible, but skies will probably be more cloudy than not on Thursday. A few stray showers cannot be ruled out either, especially over the western half of the region. Rain showers will spread east and increase Thursday evening before becoming less common after midnight.

By dawn Friday, temperatures will be falling into the mid 30s and rain showers will start to turn to flurries. Temperatures will hold steady in the mid 30s throughout the daytime hours.

The snow during the day Friday should not cause many issues or much in the way of accumulation. However, it should pick up in intensity off the south shore of Lake Ontario Friday evening, continuing into Saturday morning. Accumulations are likely, and some of the favored lake effect areas could see a moderate snowfall.

Snow will taper off after sunrise Saturday, though a few snow showers may linger well into Saturday night. By Sunday, nothing more than a stray flurry will be left, though skies will remain rather cloudy.

Temperatures will hold in a chilly pattern, with highs through the weekend in the low 30s with nighttime temperatures well into the 20s.

Monday looks sunnier but still chilly, with no change in the high temperatures. If skies clear early enough Sunday night, some areas could slip into the teens early Monday.

Much of next week will remain cool, but with nothing more than some stray snow showers. As we head toward next weekend, a warming trend will take hold for a few days.

More Information:

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast tuesday november 23 2021
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.

2 Responses

  1. john bruzdzinski


    We picked up 9 inches last night here in Fairmount…that’s a few miles west of the city of Syracuse. A few school delays, a few school closings. Not a real big deal.

    John B.

    • Meteorologist Drew Montreuil

      Thanks for the report, John!