Cold air begins to retreat…for now

finger lakes weather forecast wednesday april 20 2022 sun warmer
Temperatures will nudge their way closer to average over the next few days, with a surge of warmth this weekend and more cold weather following thereafter. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Near-Average Temperatures

An area of high pressure will pass through the Finger Lakes today, leading to quiet weather and moderating temperatures.

Some morning cloudiness lingers in portions of the Finger Lakes early this morning while other areas have already cleared out. Remaining clouds will gradually dissipate through the morning hours, leaving sun-filled skies in their wake.

The only other clouds today may be some occasional thin clouds, especially late in the day. Clouds will increase this evening and especially overnight, but no precipitation is expected.

Northwest winds will continue today with the center of the high pressure to our south. The wind speeds will gradually decrease, and by the later afternoon, winds will be nearly calm.

The weakening northwesterly flow and increasing sunshine will help temperatures moderate today, though most areas will still be below average. Highs will be near or just above 50 for much of the region, but areas that have a thick snowpack in the far eastern Finger Lakes, and areas right along the shore of Lake Ontario, may be held to the mid 40s.

Winds will turn to the south and increase tonight, especially after midnight. Gusts over 30 mph will become possible over higher elevations. Temperatures will initially drop to the low and mid 30s, but will rise before dawn, ranging from the mid 40s in the northwest to the mid 30s in the snowy east.

Temperatures will then settle in the mid 50s Thursday and Friday, which is within the range of average temperatures for this time of the year. Overnight lows Thursday night will also be seasonable in the mid 30s.

An area of rain showers will move through on Thursday. The rain should not be heavy and will be on and off from the late morning through the afternoon. By the evening, the rain should be east of the area. Friday will be dry with sun and a few late clouds.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wednesday april 20 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Warming this Weekend Ahead of Another Crash

Temperatures will take a more dramatic turn upwards for a few days before turning sharply colder once again.

Saturday will be a rather cloudy day as the warmer air starts to push into the area. A few showers cannot be ruled out, but most of the precipitation looks as though it will be across northern and eastern New York.

Temperatures should be able to nudge into the low 60s for much of the region. A little extra sunshine could boost temperatures further. On the flip side, if the warm air is slower to arrive and showers become more likely, temperatures will be cooler.

Sunday is when the warm air will really settle in with highs in the upper 70s to even low 80s. Ample sunshine and a southwesterly flow will help the surging temperatures.

Monday becomes less certain as a cold front approaches late in the day with rain showers. Highs in the 70s are still likely, even if reaching 80 degrees may be more difficult.

On Tuesday, temperatures will take a step back, but may still push into the 60s. Cold air will then settle in, with highs in the 40s Wednesday. The models currently show pockets of 30s for highs Thursday and Friday, though I would not be surprised if that is a bit overdone this early.

With the cold air, rain and snow showers will be possible during the latter half of next week.

Temperatures may moderate back toward 50 degrees next weekend, but do not look to be in any rush to get significantly warmer during the first days of May.

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast wednesday april 20 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.