Warmer weather begins to return to the Finger Lakes

finger lakes weather forecast monday june 20 2022 sun clouds warming trend
Highs will make it back into the 70s today, with 80s and possibly 90s Tuesday and especially Wednesday. [Photo by Meteorologist Drew Montreuil]

Quick Turnaround

After a chilly, blustery weekend, the weather will make a quick turnaround early this week as heat and humidity return.

Skies are mixed to start the week across the region. An area of high pressure is moving into the Mid-Atlantic, while a warm front is lifting through the Great Lakes. An enhanced area of the jet stream is also overhead this morning.

Most of the clouds to start the day are in the west, while eastern areas are starting sunny and cool. Clouds will gradually filter eastward throughout the day. Many of the clouds will be thin and should allow partial sunshine to work its way through the clouds. No rain is expected.

Northwest winds will blow but at much lower speeds than the weekend. Most areas should see wind speeds of 5 to 7 mph with top gusts under 20 mph.

Temperatures will start to recover and will be comfortable today. Highs will reach the low and mid 70s.

The warm front will begin to move through the area tonight. A few showers will be possible this evening west of Seneca Lake with a gradual eastward spread overnight. By Tuesday morning, just a few lingering showers east of Seneca Lake are expected early in the day.

Sunshine will increase during the later part of Tuesday morning and into the afternoon. Light south and southwest winds will bring warmer air in. Many areas will see the mid or even upper 80s, but east of Cayuga Lake, where the sun and warm air will arrive last, highs will be in the upper 70s and low 80s.

Wednesday will be the day to watch for both high heat and some afternoon thunderstorms as a cold front approaches late. The speed of the front will help determine the timing of any storms, and that in turn will affect how warm it gets. Highs on Wednesday should end up somewhere within 3-5 degrees on either side of 90 degrees.

There will be plenty of heat and humidity for thunderstorms, but there are several factors that are less favorable for severe weather compared to last week. Still, some isolated severe storms may be possible.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday june 20 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Staying Warm

The cold front will clear the area Wednesday night, leaving mostly sunny skies in place for Thursday. Unlike last weekend, there will not be a major invasion of cold air behind this front. Highs Thursday should top out around 80 degrees.

From there, temperatures should creep upwards. Friday looks sunny with fair weather clouds and highs into the low 80s.

The weather becomes less certain as we head into the weekend as some Atlantic moisture moves northeast toward the region. That could touch off a few showers on Saturday, though at this time, the rain looks spotty and brief at most.

Highs Saturday could make it into the mid 80s, even with some clouds and showers moving in.

Sunday may have a slightly better chance for some rain as a weather system moves in. Again, highs should still make it well into the 80s, anyway.

Temperatures may take a brief dip into the 70s behind the weather system on Sunday. By next Tuesday or Wednesday at the latest, highs should be back up around 80 degrees.

There is a large spread in possible temperatures showing on the models for the latter half of next week and into early July. Generally, though, near to slightly above average temperatures look to be more favorable than cool air.

Rainfall continues to look hit or miss, mostly occurring on single days as cold fronts move through. Plenty of dry days between fronts is expected with this pattern, persisting into July.

More Information:

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast monday june 20 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.