A few more chances for showers before dry weather returns

finger lakes weather forecast tuesday september 13 2022 clouds showers sun
Scattered showers are possible this morning, late this afternoon, and late Wednesday before a long stretch of dry weather settles in. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Tuesday-Wednesday Rain Showers

Low pressure continues to meander through the region, bringing on and off bouts of rain and thunderstorms to the Finger Lakes.

As expected, rainfall amounts yesterday and overnight varied greatly, with some areas seeing little while others saw in excess of two inches.

finger lakes weather 24 hour rain estimate tuesday september 12 2022
Estimated 24-hour rain amounts from approximately 7 AM Monday to 7 AM Tuesday. [Click to Enlarge]
A few slow-moving showers dot the region this morning. The showers are drifting northeastward and should mostly exit the region by the late morning.

Some sunshine will develop during the midday hours and persist into the afternoon. A few more showers are expected to develop late this afternoon, quickly dissipating as the sun sets. The best chance, therefore, for additional rain after this morning will be between 4-8 PM.

While a few brief downpours are possible, rain amounts will generally remain low today.

West and northwest winds will blow at 5-10 mph today with gusts occasionally as high as 20 mph. Temperatures will top out near or just over 70 degrees.

Tonight, skies will clear and cooler air will move in. Evening temperatures will quickly fall into the 50s. By Wednesday morning, most areas will be near or under 55 degrees and some pockets of upper 40s are possible throughout the southern half of the region.

Wednesday will mostly be a quiet day with a mix of sun and clouds. Late in the afternoon, a spray of brief showers will pop up. Like today, these will only last a couple of hours before the sun sets and the showers disappear as quickly as they popped up.

Temperatures on Wednesday will be a bit warmer than today with highs in the mid 70s. Winds will be out of the northwest at around 10 mph with gusts around 25 mph.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast tuesday september 13 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Dry Stretch

A reinforcing shot of cool air will move in Wednesday night as skies once again clear. Morning lows Thursday will be well into the 40s for many areas. A few isolated pockets of upper 30s cannot be ruled out.

The daytime hours on Thursday will also be cooler than we are accustomed to, with highs struggling into the low 60s. A few places may reach the mid 60s thanks to nearly full sunshine. Just a few stray thin clouds are expected.

Winds on Thursday will be from the north-northwest with speeds of 5-10 mph. The strongest gusts, around 20 mph, will come during the morning hours.

Another chilly night is expected Thursday night with clear skies and nearly calm winds. Temperatures should match or drop a bit lower than Wednesday night with widespread low and mid 40s and a greater chance for a few pockets of 30s.

This will not be the onset of fall, though, as warm weather will come back quickly this weekend. Friday will have highs near 70 degrees with sun and thin clouds. By Saturday, highs will be pushing 80 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds.

The warm weather will not stop there, though. Temperatures will continue to rise, with low 80s Sunday and mid 80s possible on Monday and Tuesday. Upper 80s or even a few pockets hitting 90 degrees is not out of the question later next week.

Meanwhile, dry, sunny weather is expected to dominate through the end of the week, the weekend, and at least the first half of next week. As the heat and humidity build, some pop-up showers and storms may become possible later in the week.

Eventually, sometime between late next week and the early portion of the following week, the heat should break with a return to more seasonable temperatures.

More Information:

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast tuesday september 13 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.