New, Autumnal weather pattern settles in for a prolonged stay

finger lakes weather forecast thursday september 22 2022 cloudy showers cool windy
Blustery winds, especially this afternoon, will usher in chilly air and showers. [Photo by Joan Lockwood]

Chill in the Air

A cold front moved through overnight with thunderstorms and a few isolated cases of wind damage.

Now on the backside of the front, cool, showery weather is taking hold.

Scattered showers are spread throughout the region this morning, especially in the southeastern half, closer to the departing front. The rain should taper off through the morning, with few showers during the late morning hours. A few breaks of sun may even be possible.

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During this time, temperatures will get a bump of a couple of degrees and may manage to break back into the low 60s for an hour or two.

Northwest winds will pick up this afternoon and showers will increase as a secondary front slides through. Frequent showers are likely through the afternoon and into the evening hours. Temperatures will drop, with low and mid 50s by 6 PM.

The wind will be blustery, with speeds of 10-15 mph and gusts of 30-35 mph, especially in the early afternoon as the secondary front passes.

Showers will continue through the evening and overnight, gradually transitioning over to mainly lake effect rain. The radar will look wintry, with multiple bands of rain south of Lake Ontario. Skies will remain mostly cloudy outside of the bands and nighttime winds will still gust over 20 mph.

The clouds and precipitation should add a few degrees to the overnight temperatures, but it will still be plenty chilly. Most areas will end up between 40-45 degrees, though both colder and warmer pockets are likely based on topography.

Friday morning will see the lake effect rain showers gradually wind down. Spits of drizzle may persist east of Cayuga Lake into the afternoon though, and clouds will be slow to depart throughout the region. The best chance for some sun will come at the end of the day as skies clear in response to dry air moving in.

Northwest winds will continue to gust to and slightly over 30 mph into the late afternoon hours before finally dissipating by evening. With the clouds and wind, highs will struggle to reach 55 degrees even in the warmest areas. Many higher elevations will see highs in the low 50s.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday september 22 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

Cool and Unsettled

Friday night will be a couple of degrees colder than Thursday night. This will send the temperature into the upper 30s and low 40s for much of the region by Saturday morning. Mid 30s are possible in pockets across the Southern Tier and Central New York.

A few protected valleys could see a little frost as well. However, a light but steady northwest wind will help prevent frost formation on a broader scale. Still, if you are in a particularly frost-prone area and have plants you are not ready to let go, giving them some basic protection is a worthwhile preparation.

Saturday will be the sunniest upcoming day as the sunshine mixes with mainly thin clouds and a few stray fair weather clouds. Northwest winds will be light with speeds around 5 mph, becoming nearly calm late in the afternoon.

Temperatures will be warmer than Friday, but still on the cool side. Look for afternoon highs to reach the low 60s. A few urban areas could flirt with 65 degrees.

Light south winds will develop Saturday night, holding temperatures in the upper 40s and low 50s. Clouds will also be on the increase, further aiding the temperatures.

Showers will move in from the west Sunday morning and continue off and on throughout the day. None of the rain looks particularly heavy, but it will be frequent enough to make for a dreary day. Temperatures still may be able to reach the mid 60s.

That will be the high point for temperatures over the next week, however. Monday will have showers around, but fewer than Sunday, with temperatures only reaching the low 60s.

Rain looks to become more widespread again on Tuesday, resulting in highs failing to reach 60 degrees. By Wednesday, highs will be similar to Friday and will have a hard time even reaching the mid 50s. Thursday, too, may see highs sticking to the mid 50s.

Beyond that, temperatures will moderate back into the 60s, but highs in the 70s look like a tall order as we head well into October.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast thursday september 22 2022
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.