Warm End to 2022
Warm air will continue to surge into the Finger Lakes today, adding several more degrees onto yesterday’s high, despite plenty of cloud cover.
The clouds that are overhead this morning are partially a result of this warmer air moving in. The clouds may be accompanied by a stray shower or bit of drizzle, but most areas should be dry today. A little sunshine may poke through the clouds this afternoon.
High temperatures will range through the 50s today, with even higher elevations getting near or above 50. A few places hitting 60 degrees is not out of the question, either. This would be most likely across Wayne, northern Ontario, and eastern Monroe counties, as well as Dansville.
Steady south and southwest winds will blow with speeds up to and around 10 mph. Top gusts on the day will be under 20 mph in lower elevations and just above 20 mph on the hilltops.
It will remain warm and mostly dry tonight with clouds and the steady south wind persisting. Many areas will stick to the low and mid 40s, though some upper 30s will be possible across the Southern Tier and into Central New York.
Rain showers will move in Saturday morning and continue off and on throughout the day, possibly extending into the evening. There is a chance, however, that the batch of rain expected for the evening skirts just southeast of the area.
None of the rain expected on Saturday will be overly heavy. There may be several batches of rain interrupted by brief lulls in the precipitation. Most areas should see well under a half-inch of rain.
Winds will remain out of the south at around 10 mph on Saturday, but temperatures will not be as warm thanks to the rainfall. Look for highs mostly in the mid to perhaps upper 40s. Evening temperatures will not change much, and most areas should still be in the low and mid 40s at midnight as we ring in 2023.
For the most part, Sunday will be a dry start to the new year. Only a few lingering showers are expected during the early morning hours. Eventually, sunshine should increase during the afternoon.
Wind will be out of the northwest at speeds near or just over 10 mph. Wind gusts may approach 30 mph for a time in the morning and midday hours before weakening in the afternoon.
Temperatures on Sunday will start in the mid and upper 30s as cool air moves in between midnight and dawn. Highs will mostly be in the low 40s with some upper 30s in higher elevations.
A few spits of rain will be possible on Monday, but for the most part, it will just be a cloudy day.
Winds will turn back to the south Sunday evening, causing temperatures to rise slightly after midnight. Monday will start out in the mid and upper 30s with highs making it to the mid 40s.
The next weather system will move in for Tuesday and Wednesday. Rain will be likely on Tuesday as a warm front lifts north through the region. I currently have highs around 50 on Tuesday, but if the front clears the area sooner, it could be warmer.
Wednesday will be as warm or warmer than today with highs in the upper half of the 50s likely. Rain showers will also be possible as a cold front approaches. Cooler air will start to build in by Thursday as lingering showers gradually dissipate.
There continues to be a large amount of uncertainty regarding another system late next week, but models seem to be trending away from that idea, at least for now.
Regardless, the pattern will shift and temperatures will return closer to average with highs in the 30s by next weekend and for the following week.
Survey Thank You
In less than 48 hours, nearly 400 of you responded to my year-end survey. I have just started to dig through the wealth of data. It will take some time to sort through it and pick out actionable trends and analytics. I hope to eventually publish a report on the results and the actions I hope to take based on them.
Be assured that I will look at each and every response, and if you provided an email address, I may follow up in the coming weeks.
Thank you all for your feedback and support as I look to continue growing and improving FLX Weather!
Since today is Friday, this will be the final blog post for 2022. I hope you have a happy and blessed New Year ahead! Thank you for making 2022 the best year yet for FLX Weather!
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.
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