Mild weather expected throughout the week

finger lakes weather forecast monday february 6 2023 cloudy mild rain showers
High temperatures most days this week should be in the 40s with a couple of chances for rain. [Photo by Gwen Moshier]

Early Week Weather

A weak cold front moved through the Finger Lakes overnight with a few spits of rain.

The front is now to the east, but plenty of cloud cover is lingering behind it across the Great Lakes region. North-northwest winds behind the front will help keep the clouds in place thanks to extra moisture from Lake Ontario.

Wind speeds will be around 5 mph today with gusts as high as 25 mph.

The clouds and winds will keep temperatures a bit cooler than they were yesterday and cooler than they will be the rest of the work-week. Still, it will be a few degrees above average, and of course significantly warmer than Friday and Saturday were. Look for afternoon highs in the mid 30s,

Tonight, winds will shift and skies will clear. If the skies clear quick enough, some areas may dip into the 10s. Otherwise, most areas will reach the low 20s. Temperatures will lose a few more degrees overnight, but once southeast winds become established and increase during the predawn hours, the temperature may gain back a couple of degrees.

Clouds will also return during the predawn hours and much of Tuesday will be overcast. The best chance for a little sun will be early on. During the mid to late afternoon, a few scattered rain showers will move through. Rain amounts will be low and some areas may not see enough to wet the pavement.

South winds of 10-15 mph will help push temperatures back to the low and mid 40s. Persistent clouds Tuesday night will hold temperatures in the low 30s. Some drizzle, freezing drizzle, and flurries will be possible overnight.

A few of these may linger into early Wednesday, but as dry air works in on west and southwest winds, skies should at least partially clear. The afternoon will likely be sunnier than the morning, and it could turn mostly clear for a while.

High temperatures on Wednesday should at least reach the low 40s.

finger lakes weather medium range snow outlook Monday february 6 2023 see blog text for pertinent information
The only upcoming chances for accumulating snow will be Saturday, but this remains highly uncertain and is unlikely to produce significant amounts. Click to enlarge.

Late Week Weather

Another weather system will move into the region on Thursday as a warm front as low pressure moves into the Upper Great Lakes.

A widespread area of rain is likely during the daytime hours. If it arrives early enough, a little mixed precipitation may be possible in some colder pockets of Central New York.

The rain will last for several hours, then lift north. Some gusty south and southwest winds will develop behind the front, with gusts over 35 mph especially possible over higher elevations.

During the daytime hours, temperatures will be in the 30s to low 40s. Thursday night, temperatures will push into the mid 40s for a time before dropping back to the upper 30s.

On Friday, the low will be well north of the area of Canada. Dry, mild air wrapping around the low will move in, leaving a mix of sun and clouds and temperatures at least in the upper 40s.

Even though Friday is expected to be the warmest day of the week, the only upcoming chance for snow will be on Saturday. This will be dependent on the development of a secondary low pressure system over the Ohio River Valley, which may then move to the East Coast and strengthen.

At this time, the odds of at least an inch of snow are a little greater than 50-50. A moderate snowfall is within the realm of possibility, but not overly likely.

If it does snow, the system should be gone by Sunday. After a cool morning, temperatures will work back to the mid 30s with a mix of sun and clouds possible.

finger lakes weather 7-day forecast mon feb 6 | mon, mostly cloudy mid 30 | tues, rain showers late mid 40 | wed, sun and clouds low 40 | thur, periods of rain mid 40 | fri, sun and clouds upper 40 | sat, snow possible low 30 | sun, sun and clouds mid 30
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected. Click to enlarge.

More warm weather is expected next week, which as a whole, may turn out even warmer than this week. There will be a couple of chances for rain, but snow will once again be lacking, except perhaps during another quick shot of cold air towards next weekend.

The latter half of February is not expected to be as warm as of now, but neither is expected to be overly cold.

More Information:

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finger lakes weather 7-day forecast mon feb 6 | mon, mostly cloudy mid 30 | tues, rain showers late mid 40 | wed, sun and clouds low 40 | thur, periods of rain mid 40 | fri, sun and clouds upper 40 | sat, snow possible low 30 | sun, sun and clouds mid 30
This graphic represents an average over the entire Finger Lakes region. Localized variations should be expected.

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.