Sunday morning update on Monday storm potential

Monday Severe Thunderstorm Potential

A map showing the Storm Prediction Center thunderstorm outlook for Monday, August 7, 2023. The southern Finger Lakes is in a slight risk for severe thunderstorms, while the northern Finger Lakes is in a marginal risk.
Storm Prediction Center outlook for Monday, August 7, 2023. Click to enlarge.

For the better part of a week, I have been closely watching tomorrow’s weather. A potent low-pressure system will move into the Great Lakes, accompanied by stronger winds aloft across the eastern US.

There are a couple of factors that should hold back the severe potential across our area somewhat:

1) During the early morning hours, a warm front will lift through the FLX with showers and clouds. The longer these linger, the less heating we will see, resulting in less fuel for storms.

2) The core of the strongest winds aloft will end up south of the region, across the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachian states.

Still, isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms will be possible during the afternoon and evening. As usual, damaging winds will be the primary concern.

Uncertainty remains high, so be sure to check back in the morning for my usual Monday blog post with all the details on the day and week ahead.

More Information:

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

» Finger Lakes Weather Radar

» Zip Code Forecasts

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Follow Meteorologist Drew Montreuil:
Meteorologist Drew Montreuil has been forecasting the weather in the Finger Lakes region since 2006 and has degrees in meteorology from SUNY Oswego (B.S. with Honors) and Cornell (M.S.). Drew and his wife have four young boys. When not working or playing with the boys, he is probably out for a run through the countryside.